Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 31

Date: 13 March 2023, Monday


	Crotone		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.95	2.2
	2.95	3.15	2.2
	3	2.9	2.21
	2.92	2.83	2.26
	3.1	2.8	2.3
	3.13	2.97	2.33	Watch
	3.05	3.05	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.45)	2.95 ↓ (3)	2.25 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
29.7%

Draw
30.4%

Catanzaro
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

30.2%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

33%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crotone's form might have worsened.

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Catanzaro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crotone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Catanzaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	50%	37.5%

Crotone - Catanzaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Crotone will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Recent matches Crotone is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Catanzaro is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Crotone won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
04.03.23	Picerno - Crotone	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Crotone - Turris	0:0 ✺
19.02.23	Virtus Francavilla - Crotone	1:2 ✺
11.02.23	Crotone - Foggia	1:1 ✺
06.02.23	Avellino - Crotone	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTWTL
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie C Group C
04.03.23	Catanzaro - Avellino	4:1 ✺
25.02.23	Juve Stabia - Catanzaro	1:4 ✺
19.02.23	Catanzaro - Monopoli	6:0 ✺
12.02.23	Viterbese - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Catanzaro - Fidelis Andria	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
06.11.22	Catanzaro - Crotone	2:0

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