Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 17

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	Crotone		Juve Stabia

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.8	3.3
	2.15	2.95	3.6
	2.27	2.91	3.77
	2.26	2.85	3.77
	2.15	3	3.25
	2.1	2.98	3.44
	2.12	2.85	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.32)	2.91 ↓ (2.99)	3.53 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crotone
42.3%

Draw
31.6%

Juve Stabia
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

30.2%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

29.7%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Crotone - Juve Stabia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. D'Alterio F. (G) 21. Leo D. 18. Loiacono G. 2. Papini F. 19. Tribuzzi A. 15. Negro Di Stefano V. 10. Petriccione J. (C) 3. Giron M. 7. D'Ursi E. 93. Tumminello M. 9. Gomez G.	20. Ngagne D. (G) 28. Andreoni C. 21. Bachini M. 6. Bellich M. 19. Mignanelli D. (C) 14. Meli M. 55. Leone G. 8. Buglio D. 33. Erradi B. 7. Romeo F. 27. Candellone L.
Substitutes
5. Bove D. 99. Branduani P. (G) 17. Bruzzaniti G. 29. Cantisani R. 14. Crialese C. 8. Felippe Martello L. 24. Giannotti P. 6. Gigliotti G. 23. Jurcec J. 12. Lucano A. (G) 77. Pannitteri O. 20. Rojas L. 39. Schiro T. 36. Spaltro R. 30. Vuthaj D.	13. Baldi M. 10. Bentivegna A. 26. D'Amore F. 32. Esposito M. (G) 23. Folino F. 25. Gerbo A. 17. Guarracino M. 3. La Rosa A. 70. Marranzino P. 5. Maselli S. 31. Rovaglia P. 61. Ruggiero G. 1. Signorini A. (G) 77. Vimercati A.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crotone won 3.

Crotone is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Juve Stabia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Crotone will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Crotone won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Crotone won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Crotone
Italian Serie C Group C
03.12.23	Città di Brindisi - Crotone	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.11.23	Catania - Crotone	4:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
26.11.23	Crotone - Potenza	2:1 ✺
18.11.23	Casertana - Crotone	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Crotone - Nuova Monterosi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWTW
- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie C Group C
03.12.23	Juve Stabia - Benevento	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.11.23	Avellino - Juve Stabia	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
25.11.23	ACR Messina - Juve Stabia	0:1 ✺
19.11.23	Juve Stabia - Sorrento	0:0 ✺
13.11.23	Juve Stabia - Foggia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
01.02.23	Juve Stabia - Crotone	1:2
01.10.22	Crotone - Juve Stabia	1:0
Italian Serie B
15.02.20	Juve Stabia - Crotone	3:2
24.09.19	Crotone - Juve Stabia	2:0
17.05.14	Juve Stabia - Crotone	2:2
21.12.13	Crotone - Juve Stabia	1:1
19.05.13	Crotone - Juve Stabia	3:3

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