Match Info

Serie A - Round 27

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Olimpico di Torino (Turin)

Referee: Abisso R. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Torino		Lazio

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.88	2.88	Watch
	2.88	2.78	2.92	Watch
	2.93	2.82	3.01
	2.83	2.95	2.82	Watch
	2.7	2.8	2.8
	2.94	2.87	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.76)	2.85 ↓ (2.93)	2.92 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torino
33.6%

Draw
33.6%

Lazio
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

32.4%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

34.1%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Lazio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torino than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.9%	73.3%	17.8%

Torino - Lazio Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Torino will win (votes: 4 - 8.9%). Lazio will win (votes: 8 - 17.8%). It will Tie (votes: 33 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 60.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 9 - 81.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Torino (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Lazio (2.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Torino (1.42) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Torino (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Lazio (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Tie (votes: 9 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paleari A. (G) 23. Coco S. 44. Ismajli A. 77. Ebosse E. 20. Lazaro V. 66. Gineitis G. 4. Prati M. 10. Vlasic N. 33. Obrador R. 18. Simeone G. 91. Zapata D. (C)	94. Provedel I. (G) 77. Marusic A. 13. Romagnoli A. 25. Provstgaard O. 3. Pellegrini Lu. 21. Belahyane R. 32. Cataldi D. 24. Taylor K. 22. Cancellieri M. 20. Ratkov P. 10. Zaccagni M. (C)
Substitutes
19. Adams C. 14. Anjorin F. 34. Biraghi C. 22. Casadei C. 8. Ilic I. 81. Israel F. (G) 17. Kulenovic S. 35. Marianucci L. 13. Maripan G. 92. Njie A. 25. Nkounkou N. 16. Pedersen M. 99. Siviero L. (G) 61. Tameze A.	7. Dele-Bashiru F. 19. Dia B. 71. Farcomeni V. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 18. Isaksen G. 29. Lazzari M. 40. Motta E. (G) 14. Noslin T. 4. Patric 28. Przyborek A. 17. Tavares N.
Coaches
D'Aversa R.	Sarri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Simeone G. ⚽,
45+1', Gineitis G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ratkov P. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
46', Belahyane R. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
53', 2 - 0, Zapata D. ⚽, Obrador R. (A),
65', Cancellieri M. ↓, Isaksen G. ↑,
65', Pellegrini Lu. ↓, Tavares N. ↑,
68', Gineitis G. ↓, Ilic I. ↑,
72', Obrador R. ↓, Nkounkou N. ↑,
73', Zapata D. ↓, Casadei C. ↑,
79', Vlasic N. 🟨,
80', Zaccagni M. ↓, Dia B. ↑,
84', Simeone G. ↓, Kulenovic S. ↑,
85', Prati M. ↓, Tameze A. ↑,
90+1', Tameze A. 🟨,
90+2', Kulenovic S. 🟨,
90+3', Tavares N. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torino won 0.

Torino is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Lazio has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lazio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Torino: Adams C. (Calf Injury) Ilkhan E. (Red Card) Savva Z. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lazio: Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Pedro (Ankle Injury) Rovella N. (Injury)

There are questionable in Torino: Aboukhlal Z. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Lazio: Basic T. (Injury) Dia B. (Injury) Gila M. (Knee Injury) Lazzari M. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Torino won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:33. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Torino won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Lazio: 0.93% Torino: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8:3	5	13
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5:8	-3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torino FC
Italian Serie A
22.02.26	Genoa - Torino	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Torino - Bologna	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Fiorentina - Torino	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.02.26	Inter Milan - Torino	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.02.26	Torino - Lecce	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTLW
- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
21.02.26	Cagliari - Lazio	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Lazio - Atalanta	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
11.02.26	Bologna - Lazio	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie A
08.02.26	Juventus - Lazio	2:2 ✺
30.01.26	Lazio - Genoa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
04.10.25	Lazio - Torino	3:3
31.03.25	Lazio - Torino	1:1
29.09.24	Torino - Lazio	2:3
22.02.24	Torino - Lazio	0:2
27.09.23	Lazio - Torino	2:0
22.04.23	Lazio - Torino	0:1
20.08.22	Torino - Lazio	0:0

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