The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Crotone 19.5%
Draw 21.6%
Atalanta 58.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.4%
18.7%
66.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.7%
16.5%
75.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crotone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Crotone's performance.
Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atalanta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crotone than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crotone that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+16.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atalanta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
7.9%
11.1%
81%
Crotone - Atalanta Predictions
Users Predictions:
Atalanta will win
(51 of 63 users predict this - 80.95%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.25% – 90.65%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion to Europa Conference League (Qualification)).
Crotone has a chance of relegated (50%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Atalanta has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (51%), has a small chance of win league (9%).
Crotone has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Atalanta is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Atalanta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Atalanta is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Crotone won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Crotone won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.
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