Match Info

Serie A - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now, ZAP
Angola	18:00	Z Sports 1
Argentina	14:00	Disney+
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	18:00	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	14:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Canada	12:00	DAZN Canada
China	01:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Sport 1
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	18:00	DAZN France
Germany	18:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	01:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	18:00	Match 4
Indonesia	00:00	Vidio
Israel	19:00	ONE Sport 2
Italy	18:00	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan
Kuwait	20:00	Shasha
Malaysia	01:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	11:00	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Sport 3, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	06:00	beIN Connect
Norway	18:00	VG+
Peru	12:00	Disney+
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV3
Romania	19:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	20:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	20:00	STC TV
Serbia	18:00	Arena Sport 1
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	19:00	SuperSport Football
South Korea	02:00	SPOTV Now
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:00	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	01:00	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	00:00	True Premier Football 4
Tunisia	18:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	20:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:00	DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+


	Lazio		Bologna

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.4	Watch
	2.42	3.05	3.25	Watch
	2.4	3.05	3.51
	2.32	3.01	3.54	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.39	3.13	3.6
	2.33	2.9	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.64)	3.03 ↓ (3.18)	3.43 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
40.7%

Draw
31.5%

Bologna
27.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

29.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

31%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bologna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.8%	34.8%	17.4%

Lazio - Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 21 - 48.8%). Bologna will win (votes: 7 - 16.3%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 34.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 33.9% – 63.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Bologna (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.25 - Lazio (8.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Bologna (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Provedel I. (G) 77. Marusic A. 34. Gila M. 13. Romagnoli A. 17. Tavares N. 8. Guendouzi M. 32. Cataldi D. 26. Basic T. 18. Isaksen G. 11. Castellanos T. 10. Zaccagni M.	13. Ravaglia F. (G) 20. Zortea N. 14. Heggem T. 16. Casale N. 33. Miranda J. 6. Moro N. 4. Pobega T. 7. Orsolini R. 21. Odgaard J. 28. Cambiaghi N. 9. Castro S.
Substitutes
21. Belahyane R. 22. Cancellieri M. 7. Dele-Bashiru F. 19. Dia B. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 29. Lazzari M. 35. Mandas C. (G) 14. Noslin T. 4. Patric 9. Pedro 25. Provstgaard O. 5. Vecino M.	10. Bernardeschi F. 24. Dallinga T. 29. De Silvestri L. 30. Dominguez B. 80. Fabbian G. 19. Ferguson L. 82. Franceschelli M. (G) 2. Holm E. 17. Immobile C. 26. Lucumi J. 22. Lykogiannis C. 25. Pessina M. (G) 11. Rowe J. 77. Sulemana I.
Coaches
Sarri M.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Tavares N. 🟨,
30', Moro N. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Isaksen G. ⚽,
39', Casale N. ↓, De Silvestri L. ↑,
40', 1 - 1, Odgaard J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tavares N. ↓, Lazzari M. ↑,
46', Isaksen G. ↓, Cancellieri M. ↑,
49', Cambiaghi N. 🟨,
59', Castellanos T. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
64', Orsolini R. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
64', Cambiaghi N. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
64', Moro N. ↓, Ferguson L. ↑,
67', Lazzari M. 🟨,
76', Cataldi D. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
78', Gila M. 🟨,
79', Gila M. 🟨,
80', Basic T. ↓, Patric ↑,
84', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
84', Miranda J. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 1.

In recent matches, Lazio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bologna is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lazio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bologna has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Lazio: Cataldi D. (Injury) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Hysaj E. (Inactive) Rovella N. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Freuler R. (Shoulder Injury) Skorupski L. (Thigh Injury) Vitik M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Lazio - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 36.02%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Coppa Italia
04.12.25	Lazio - Milan	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Milan - Lazio	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Lazio - Lecce	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Inter Milan - Lazio	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Lazio - Cagliari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLW
- Bologna FC
Coppa Italia
04.12.25	Bologna - Parma	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.12.25	Bologna - Cremonese	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Bologna - Red Bull Salzburg	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.11.25	Udinese - Bologna	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Bologna - Napoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
16.03.25	Bologna - Lazio	5:0
24.11.24	Lazio - Bologna	3:0
18.02.24	Lazio - Bologna	1:2
03.11.23	Bologna - Lazio	1:0
11.03.23	Bologna - Lazio	0:0
Coppa Italia
19.01.23	Lazio - Bologna	1:0
Italian Serie A
14.08.22	Lazio - Bologna	2:1

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