Match Info

Serie A - Round 14

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)

Referee: Fabbri M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Lazio		Bologna

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.4	Watch
	2.42	3.05	3.25	Watch
	2.4	3.05	3.51
	2.32	3.01	3.54	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.1
	2.39	3.13	3.6
	2.33	2.9	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.64)	3.03 ↓ (3.18)	3.43 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
40.7%

Draw
31.5%

Bologna
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

29.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

32.3%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bologna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.8%	34.8%	17.4%

Lazio - Bologna Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Lazio will win (votes: 21 - 48.8%). Bologna will win (votes: 7 - 16.3%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 34.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lazio: 33.9% – 63.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Bologna (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.25 - Lazio (8.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Lazio (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Bologna (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Provedel I. (G) 77. Marusic A. 34. Gila M. 13. Romagnoli A. 17. Tavares N. 8. Guendouzi M. 32. Cataldi D. 26. Basic T. 18. Isaksen G. 11. Castellanos T. 10. Zaccagni M.	13. Ravaglia F. (G) 20. Zortea N. 14. Heggem T. 16. Casale N. 33. Miranda J. 6. Moro N. 4. Pobega T. 7. Orsolini R. 21. Odgaard J. 28. Cambiaghi N. 9. Castro S.
Substitutes
21. Belahyane R. 22. Cancellieri M. 7. Dele-Bashiru F. 19. Dia B. 55. Furlanetto A. (G) 29. Lazzari M. 35. Mandas C. (G) 14. Noslin T. 4. Patric 9. Pedro 25. Provstgaard O. 5. Vecino M.	10. Bernardeschi F. 24. Dallinga T. 29. De Silvestri L. 30. Dominguez B. 80. Fabbian G. 19. Ferguson L. 82. Franceschelli M. (G) 2. Holm E. 17. Immobile C. 26. Lucumi J. 22. Lykogiannis C. 25. Pessina M. (G) 11. Rowe J. 77. Sulemana I.
Coaches
Sarri M.	Italiano V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Tavares N. 🟨,
30', Moro N. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Isaksen G. ⚽,
39', Casale N. ↓, De Silvestri L. ↑,
40', 1 - 1, Odgaard J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tavares N. ↓, Lazzari M. ↑,
46', Isaksen G. ↓, Cancellieri M. ↑,
49', Cambiaghi N. 🟨,
59', Castellanos T. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
64', Orsolini R. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
64', Cambiaghi N. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
64', Moro N. ↓, Ferguson L. ↑,
67', Lazzari M. 🟨,
76', Cataldi D. ↓, Dele-Bashiru F. ↑,
78', Gila M. 🟨,
79', Gila M. 🟨,
80', Basic T. ↓, Patric ↑,
84', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
84', Miranda J. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 1.

In recent matches, Lazio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bologna is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lazio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bologna has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Lazio: Cataldi D. (Injury) Gigot S. (Ankle Injury) Hysaj E. (Inactive) Rovella N. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Freuler R. (Shoulder Injury) Skorupski L. (Thigh Injury) Vitik M. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lazio won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:25. (average 1.5:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Lazio won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Lazio - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 36.02%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Coppa Italia
04.12.25	Lazio - Milan	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Milan - Lazio	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Lazio - Lecce	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Inter Milan - Lazio	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Lazio - Cagliari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLW
- Bologna FC
Coppa Italia
04.12.25	Bologna - Parma	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.12.25	Bologna - Cremonese	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Bologna - Red Bull Salzburg	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.11.25	Udinese - Bologna	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Bologna - Napoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
16.03.25	Bologna - Lazio	5:0
24.11.24	Lazio - Bologna	3:0
18.02.24	Lazio - Bologna	1:2
03.11.23	Bologna - Lazio	1:0
11.03.23	Bologna - Lazio	0:0
Coppa Italia
19.01.23	Lazio - Bologna	1:0
Italian Serie A
14.08.22	Lazio - Bologna	2:1

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