Match Info

Date: 20 August 2021, Friday


	Cruzeiro		Confiança

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4	6.5
	1.46	3.9	6	Watch
	1.42	4	7.2
	1.44	4.5	8.11
	1.4	4	8
	1.47	4.1	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.69)	4.08 ↑ (3.63)	7.2 ↑ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
64.4%

Draw
22.7%

Confiança
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

25.7%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1%

20.8%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cruzeiro's performance.

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Confiança might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Cruzeiro - Confiança Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C).

Cruzeiro is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Confiança is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Cruzeiro is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Cruzeiro won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie B
17.08.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
14.08.21	Cruzeiro - Sampaio Corrêa	1:1 ✺
11.08.21	Cruzeiro - Vitória Salvador	2:2 ✺
07.08.21	Brusque - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
30.07.21	Cruzeiro - Londrina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTTWT
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie B
17.08.21	Confiança - Remo	1:2 ✺
14.08.21	Ponte Preta - Confiança	4:2 ✺
10.08.21	Confiança - CS Alagoano	0:2 ✺
07.08.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Confiança	0:4 ✺
31.07.21	Brusque - Confiança	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
29.05.21	Confiança - Cruzeiro	3:1
27.11.20	Cruzeiro - Confiança	1:2
23.08.20	Confiança - Cruzeiro	1:1

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