Match Info

Date: 30 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)


	Brusque		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.65
	2.95	2.85	2.48
	2.75	2.8	2.7
	2.99	2.84	2.88
	3	2.62	2.7
	2.89	2.82	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↓ (3.55)	2.79 ↓ (2.97)	2.7 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brusque
32.2%

Draw
33.4%

Cruzeiro
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

31.9%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

32.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brusque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brusque's performance.

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruzeiro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruzeiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.7%	34.8%	56.5%

Brusque - Cruzeiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Brusque will win (votes: 2 - 8.7%). Cruzeiro will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 34.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cruzeiro: 36.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Cruzeiro will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Brusque won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Brusque won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie B
24.07.22	Guarani - Brusque	1:1 ✺
19.07.22	Brusque - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
16.07.22	CRB Maceio - Brusque	1:1 ✺
06.07.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Brusque	1:0 ✺
01.07.22	Brusque - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TTTLW
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie B
23.07.22	Cruzeiro - Bahia	1:0 ✺
20.07.22	CS Alagoano - Cruzeiro	1:1 ✺
17.07.22	Cruzeiro - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
12.07.22	Cruzeiro - Fluminense	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
09.07.22	Guarani - Cruzeiro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
12.04.22	Cruzeiro - Brusque	1:0
09.11.21	Cruzeiro - Brusque	2:0
07.08.21	Brusque - Cruzeiro	1:2

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