Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Alveal F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DGO
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, FuboTV
Chile	ESPN
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Paraguay	Tigo Sports
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Spain	LaLiga+
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2
Usa	beIN Connect, FuboTV, Tubi TV
Venezuela	Inter
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, LaLiga+ app


	Cruzeiro		Libertad Asuncion

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.1	6	Watch
	1.53	4	6
	1.55	4	6	Watch
	1.52	4.05	7.18
	1.52	4.02	7.01	Watch
	1.5	3.75	6	Watch
	1.55	4	6.36	Watch
	1.55	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.6)	3.99 ↑ (3.65)	6.32 ↑ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Xtra En Español

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
61.5%

Draw
23.6%

Libertad Asuncion
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

25.2%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

26.4%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Cruzeiro - Libertad Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: Cruzeiro will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cassio (G) 12. William Furtado 5. Ze Ivaldo 25. Villalba L. 3. Marlon 29. Romero L. 97. Matheus Henrique 30. Gabriel Veron 10. Matheus Pereira 26. Diaz L. 19. Kaio Jorge	1. Silva M. (G) 2. Ramirez I. 5. Viera D. 4. Gimenez N. 17. Espinoza M. 19. Lezcano R. 26. Caballero H. 36. Cardozo Lucena A. 13. Silva A. 9. Aguilar G. 28. Fernandez M.
Substitutes
98. Anderson (G) 21. Barreal A. 43. Joao Marcelo 34. Jonathan Jesus 6. Kaiki 41. Leo Aragao (G) 16. Lucas Silva 7. Mateus Vital 33. Peralta F. 17. Ramiro 20. Walace 2. Wesley Gasolina	14. Cardozo L. 18. Franco I. 32. Fretes A. 27. Jacquet M. 22. Martinez H. 11. Mendieta W. 8. Merlini B. 12. Morinigo Acosta R. M. (G) 16. Riveros C. 29. Rojas V. (G) 24. Santa C. R. 15. Villalba H.
Coaches
Fernando Diniz	Garnero D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Romero L. 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Kaio Jorge ⚽, Marlon (A),
18', William Furtado 🟨,
18', Fernando Diniz 🟨,
29', Ramirez I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Aguilar G. ↓, Santa C. R. ↑,
56', Gimenez N. 🟨,
60', Romero L. 🟨,
62', Silva A. ↓, Franco I. ↑,
62', Fernandez M. ↓, Villalba H. ↑,
66', Diaz L. ↓, Barreal A. ↑,
66', Gabriel Veron ↓, Walace ↑,
68', Lezcano R. ↓, Merlini B. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Santa C. R. ⚽, Ramirez I. (A),
73', Matheus Pereira ↓, Joao Marcelo ↑,
79', Espinoza M. ↓, Fretes A. ↑,
84', Kaio Jorge ↓, Mateus Vital ↑,
84', Matheus Henrique ↓, Peralta F. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-0.

Recent matches Cruzeiro is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Libertad is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Cruzeiro is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
22.09.24	Cuiabá - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.09.24	Libertad Asuncion - Cruzeiro	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
15.09.24	Cruzeiro - São Paulo	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Cruzeiro - Atlético Goianiense	3:1 ✺
28.08.24	Cruzeiro - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWLWT
- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
22.09.24	Libertad Asuncion - Tacuary	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.09.24	Libertad Asuncion - Cruzeiro	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.09.24	Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
11.09.24	Sol de América - Libertad Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
07.09.24	Deportivo Santaní - Libertad Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
19.09.24	Libertad Asuncion - Cruzeiro	0:2

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