Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 September 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Defensores del Chaco (Asunción) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:30	ESPN 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	10:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	02:30	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	21:30	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Canada	20:30	beIN Connect, FuboTV
Chile	21:30	ESPN 2
Croatia	02:30	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Georgia	04:30	Silk Sport 1
Indonesia	07:30	Mola TV
Israel	03:30	Sport 2
New Zealand	12:30	beIN Connect
Portugal	01:30	Sport TV2
Russia	03:30	Okko Sport
South America	—	ESPN 2 South, ESPN South
Turkey	03:30	S Sport, S Sport+
United Kingdom	01:30	beIN Sports MENA English 2
Usa	20:30	beIN Connect, FuboTV, Tubi TV
International	00:30	DirecTV Sports, Disney+


	Libertad Asuncion		Cruzeiro

	1	X	2
	2.9	3	2.63	Watch
	2.9	2.9	2.6
	2.95	2.9	2.65	Watch
	3.06	2.91	2.72
	3.1	2.8	2.69	Watch
	2.88	2.88	2.5	Watch
	3.02	2.9	2.64	Watch
	2.95	2.9	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.79)	2.9 ↓ (3.13)	2.64 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Network on TV: fubo Sports Network

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Asuncion
31.7%

Draw
32.5%

Cruzeiro
35.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.7%

30%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

30.6%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Libertad Asuncion - Cruzeiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silva M. (G) 2. Ramirez I. 5. Viera D. 4. Gimenez N. 17. Espinoza M. 19. Lezcano R. 26. Caballero H. 22. Martinez H. 13. Silva A. 9. Aguilar G. 28. Fernandez M.	1. Cassio (G) 12. William Furtado 5. Ze Ivaldo 25. Villalba L. 3. Marlon 29. Romero L. (C) 26. Diaz L. 97. Matheus Henrique 10. Matheus Pereira 19. Kaio Jorge 30. Gabriel Veron
Substitutes
6. Campuzano A. 14. Cardozo L. 36. Cardozo Lucena A. 18. Franco I. 32. Fretes A. 27. Jacquet M. 11. Mendieta W. 8. Merlini B. 12. Morinigo Acosta R. M. (G) 16. Riveros C. 24. Santa C. R. 15. Villalba H.	98. Anderson (G) 21. Barreal A. 43. Joao Marcelo 34. Jonathan Jesus 6. Kaiki 16. Lucas Silva 7. Mateus Vital 33. Peralta F. 17. Ramiro 2. Wesley Gasolina 44. Weverton
Coaches
Garnero D.	Seabra F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Kaio Jorge ⚽, William Furtado (A),
37', Gabriel Veron 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 2, Diaz L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fernandez M. ↓, Santa C. R. ↑,
46', Martinez H. ↓, Campuzano A. ↑,
63', Ramirez I. 🟨,
67', Gabriel Veron ↓, Joao Marcelo ↑,
68', Villalba L. ↓, Kaiki ↑,
68', Lezcano R. ↓, Villalba H. ↑,
68', Ramirez I. ↓, Cardozo L. ↑,
73', Joao Marcelo 🟨,
79', Diaz L. ↓, Barreal A. ↑,
79', Matheus Pereira ↓, Mateus Vital ↑,
88', Romero L. ↓, Peralta F. ↑,
90+2', Gimenez N. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Libertad is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Cruzeiro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Libertad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Cruzeiro have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.09.24	Libertad Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
11.09.24	Sol de América - Libertad Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
07.09.24	Deportivo Santaní - Libertad Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
31.08.24	Libertad Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	0:1 ✺
28.08.24	Sportivo Luqueño - Libertad Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLT
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
15.09.24	Cruzeiro - São Paulo	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Cruzeiro - Atlético Goianiense	3:1 ✺
28.08.24	Cruzeiro - Internacional RS	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Internacional RS - Cruzeiro	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
22.08.24	Cruzeiro - Boca Juniors	3:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
31.10.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion	✺
- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
29.10.26	Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro	✺

Libertad Asuncion - Cruzeiro