Match Info

Date: 20 May 2022, Friday

Location: Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador)

Referee: Toski M. R. (Bra)


	Bahia		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.55	3.4	7
	1.48	3.55	7.5
	1.52	3.45	7
	1.55	3.64	8.63
	1.53	3.4	7.5
	1.57	3.56	7.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.68)	3.5 ↑ (3.25)	7.46 ↑ (5.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
60.8%

Draw
26.7%

Ponte Preta
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

28.6%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

28.1%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bahia's performance.

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bahia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76%	16%	8%

Bahia - Ponte Preta Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Bahia will win (votes: 19 - 76%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia: 59.3% – 92.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 12).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Bahia is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bahia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Bahia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie B
15.05.22	Vasco da Gama - Bahia	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
10.05.22	Azuriz - Bahia	1:2 penalties ✺
Brazilian Serie B
03.05.22	Bahia - Londrina	4:0 ✺
29.04.22	Ituano - Bahia	1:0 ✺
26.04.22	Bahia - Sampaio Corrêa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWLW
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
13.05.22	Ponte Preta - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
08.05.22	Guarani - Ponte Preta	0:0 ✺
30.04.22	Ponte Preta - Brusque	2:0 ✺
27.04.22	Vasco da Gama - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
23.04.22	Ponte Preta - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
05.11.17	Bahia - Ponte Preta	2:0
12.07.17	Ponte Preta - Bahia	0:3
06.10.13	Bahia - Ponte Preta	1:1
13.07.13	Ponte Preta - Bahia	0:0
18.11.12	Bahia - Ponte Preta	1:0
15.08.12	Ponte Preta - Bahia	N/A

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