Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 29

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Globoplay, Premiere, SporTV
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Peru	Liga 1 Max
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cruzeiro		São Paulo

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.7	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.60	4.75
	1.72	3.45	4.65	Watch
	1.79	3.75	4.96
	1.82	3.62	4.49	Watch
	1.76	3.7	4.9
	1.79	3.69	4.69	Watch
	1.76	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.94)	3.64 ↑ (3.61)	4.71 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
53.9%

Draw
26%

São Paulo
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

26.4%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

27%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Cruzeiro - São Paulo Predictions

Users Predictions: Cruzeiro will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Otavio Costa (G) 12. William Furtado 43. Joao Marcelo 34. Jonathan Jesus 27. Rojas G. 29. Romero L. (C) 8. Gerson 9. Bruno Rodrigues 10. Matheus Pereira 38. Felipe Morais 19. Kaio Jorge	31. Carlos Coronel (G) 2. Toloi R. 5. Robert Arboleda 35. Sabino 32. Pedro Lima 29. Pablo Maia 8. Marcos Antonio 18. Wendell 16. Bobadilla D. 9. Jonathan Calleri (C) 37. Artur
Substitutes
99. Arroyo K. 1. Cassio (G) 84. Coutinho K. 23. Fagner 2. Kaua Moraes 16. Lucas Silva 11. Marquinhos 7. Matheus Henrique 97. Rodriguez L. 6. Vina M. 20. Wesley 5. Ze Lucas	17. Andre Silva 48. Djhordney 11. Ferreira 41. Joao Pedro (G) 19. Lucas Ramon 54. Luis Osorio 28. Newton 58. Pedro Bezerra 46. Pedro Ferreira 49. Ryan Francisco 43. Santana G. 27. Victor Sa
Coaches
Artur Jorge	Dorival Junior

Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 10th in the Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 1.

Cruzeiro has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

São Paulo is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

São Paulo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cruzeiro has faced a series of away games on the road.

Bookmakers give the edge to Cruzeiro for this game.

Confirmed absences for Cruzeiro: Gabriel Pec (Broken Leg) Kenji (Ankle Injury) Romero L. (Calf Injury) Sinisterra L. (Muscle Injury) Villarreal N. (Ankle Injury).

Confirmed absences for São Paulo: Bosshardt N. (Inactive) Buta (Knee Injury) Duarte D. (Knee Injury) Lucas Moura (Achilles Tendon Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for São Paulo: Lucca Marques (Jaw injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cruzeiro has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:23 (averaging 0.8:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cruzeiro against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 8:8 goals (averaging 0.8:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	6	9	42:40	2	45
11	Sao Paulo	28	10	6	12	33:32	1	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Serie A
20.09.26	Vitória Salvador - Cruzeiro	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Santos - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Cruzeiro - Athletico Paranaense	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
01.09.26	Atlético Mineiro - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.08.26	Vasco da Gama - Cruzeiro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLL
- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
02.10.26	São Paulo - Santos	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	São Paulo - Internacional RS	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.09.26	São Paulo - Boca Juniors	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
12.09.26	Palmeiras - São Paulo	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.09.26	Boca Juniors - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
04.04.26	São Paulo - Cruzeiro	4:1
30.08.25	Cruzeiro - São Paulo	1:0
13.04.25	São Paulo - Cruzeiro	1:1
Club Friendly
15.01.25	Cruzeiro - São Paulo	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
15.09.24	Cruzeiro - São Paulo	0:1
02.06.24	São Paulo - Cruzeiro	2:0
02.11.23	São Paulo - Cruzeiro	1:0

Upcoming Matches