Match Info

Date: 29 October 2020, Thursday


	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade		Slovan Liberec

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	5
	1.7	3.8	5
	1.75	3.8	4.75
	1.67	3.6	5.2
	1.72	3.83	5.17
	1.7	3.6	5.25
	1.75	3.84	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.85)	3.75 ↑ (3.58)	5.08 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
55.8%

Draw
25.4%

Slovan Liberec
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

26.4%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

17.9%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Slovan Liberec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-21%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crvena Zvezda Belgrade that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovan Liberec than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slovan Liberec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	5.6%	12.6%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Slovan Liberec Predictions

Users Predictions: Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (117 of 143 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.5% – 88.14%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Crvena Zvezda has a chance of round of 32 (48%), has a small chance of round of 16 (13%), has a very small chance of qtrs (4%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Slovan Liberec has a chance of round of 32 (35%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (5%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Crvena Zvezda is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Slovan Liberec is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Slovan Liberec could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Slovan Liberec have a series of home games.

In this match Crvena Zvezda is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
25.10.20	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Javor Ivanjica	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Hoffenheim - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:0 ✺
Serbian Superliga
18.10.20	Partizan - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Napredak Kruševac	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
01.10.20	Ararat-Armenia - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLTWW
- Slovan Liberec
UEFA Europa League
22.10.20	Slovan Liberec - Gent	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.10.20	Slovan Liberec - Dukla Prague	3:0
Czech 1 Liga
04.10.20	Slovan Liberec - Příbram	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
01.10.20	Slovan Liberec - APOEL	1:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
27.09.20	Pardubice - Slovan Liberec	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWL

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