Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Arena Pantanal (Cuiabá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DGO
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Georgia	Silk Universal
Indonesia	Mola TV
Netherlands	ESPN 1
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Portugal	Sport TV1
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	beIN Sports
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
World	Amazon Prime Video, DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Fanatiz


	Cuiabá		Palestino

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	5.5	Watch
	1.71	3.4	5.25
	1.78	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.77	3.31	5.88
	1.86	3.28	4.81	Watch
	1.67	3.3	5	Watch
	1.74	3.31	5.69	Watch
	1.74	3.25	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.7)	3.32 ↑ (3.25)	5.29 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cuiabá
53.8%

Draw
28.4%

Palestino
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

28.1%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

27.8%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Palestino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Cuiabá - Palestino Predictions

Users Predictions: Cuiabá will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Walter (C) 2. Matheus Alexandre 4. Marllon 33. Alan Empereur 23. Ramon 30. Lucas Mineiro 16. Deyverson 10. Max Alves 27. Denilson Alves 22. Derik Lacerda 9. Pitta I.	1. Rigamonti C. (G) 3. Rojas B. 17. Roman I. 13. Suarez C. 28. Zuniga D. 5. Linares N. 7. Carrasco B. (C) 23. Martinez Arce A. E. 10. Davila Carvajal M. 11. Benitez J. 27. Marabel J.
Substitutes
3. Allyson 97. Andre Luis 34. Bruno Alves 25. Clayson 11. Eliel 88. Fernando Sobral 44. Gabriel 8. Guilherme Madruga 7. Jonathan Cafu 14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 21. Railan 20. Rikelme	14. Abrigo J. 16. Bizama J. 4. Ceza Gavilan A. A. 22. Chamorro F. 26. Contreras D. (G) 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 18. Fuentes M. 15. Montes Romero F. T. 24. Palacio P. 9. Sosa G. 19. Vejar B.
Coaches
Petit	Bovaglio L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Marabel J. ⚽, Linares N. (A),
24', Lucas Mineiro 🟨,
32', Derik Lacerda ↓, Clayson ↑,
43', Martinez Arce A. E. 🟨,
45+2', Deyverson 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lucas Mineiro ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
57', Rojas B. 🟨,
60', Marabel J. 🟨,
60', Marabel J. ↓, Sosa G. ↑,
62', 0 - 2, Sosa G. ⚽, Martinez Arce A. E. (A),
67', Denilson Alves ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
72', Martinez Arce A. E. ↓, Ceza Gavilan A. A. ↑,
72', Benitez J. ↓, Fuentes M. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Andre Luis ⚽,
78', Linares N. 🟨,
82', Carrasco B. 🟨,
82', Matheus Alexandre ↓, Railan ↑,
82', Ramon ↓, Rikelme ↑,
85', Carrasco B. ↓, Vejar B. ↑,
85', Davila Carvajal M. ↓, Montes Romero F. T. ↑,
90+2', Rigamonti C. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Cuiabá is Qualified for Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Palestino have a series of home games.

In this match Cuiabá is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie A
21.07.24	Cuiabá - Fluminense	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.07.24	Palestino - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
13.07.24	Bahia - Cuiabá	1:2 ✺
06.07.24	Flamengo - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
03.07.24	Cuiabá - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 LTWTL
- CD Palestino Santiago
Chilean Primera Division
21.07.24	Palestino - Everton de Viña	1:4 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.07.24	Palestino - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
12.07.24	Palestino - Santiago Wanderers	3:1 ✺
06.07.24	Santiago Wanderers - Palestino	2:2 ✺
30.06.24	Palestino - Barnechea	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
18.07.24	Palestino - Cuiabá	1:1

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