Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 15

Date: 6 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Peru	L1 Play
Portugal	Canal 11
Spain	Gol Stadium
World	Amazon Prime Video, Fanatiz


	Flamengo		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	8	Watch
	1.43	4.4	8.25
	1.42	4.33	8
	1.43	4.59	8.6
	1.44	4.29	8.01
	1.36	4.5	8
	1.43	4.61	8.45	Watch
	1.42	4.2	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.37)	4.39 ↓ (4.8)	8.14 ↓ (8.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo
66.7%

Draw
21.6%

Cuiabá
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

19.7%

11.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

19.4%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.4%	9.7%	12.9%

Flamengo - Cuiabá Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Flamengo will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%). Cuiabá will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Flamengo: 61.6% – 91.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rossi A. (G) 43. Wesley 15. Fabricio Bruno 23. David Luiz 6. Ayrton Lucas 21. Allan 5. Pulgar E. 8. Gerson (C) 7. Luiz Araujo 9. Pedro 27. Bruno Henrique	1. Walter (C) 4. Marllon 33. Alan Empereur 23. Ramon 7. Jonathan Cafu 88. Fernando Sobral 30. Lucas Mineiro 27. Denilson Alves 20. Rikelme 22. Derik Lacerda 9. Pitta I.
Substitutes
22. Carlinhos 33. Cleiton 49. Dyogo Alves (G) 52. Evertton 3. Leo Ortiz 4. Leo Pereira 19. Lorran 25. Matheus Cunha (G) 20. Matheus Goncalves 35. Rayan Lucas 29. Victor Hugo 26. Werton	3. Allyson 34. Bruno Alves 25. Clayson 15. Dudu 11. Eliel 19. Gimenez L. 8. Guilherme Madruga 77. Jadson 18. Lucas Fernandes 14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 10. Max Alves 12. Rhyan (G)
Coaches
Tite	Petit

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Derik Lacerda ⚽, Denilson Alves (A),
18', Pedro 🟨,
38', Bruno Henrique ↓, Lorran ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Allan ↓, Werton ↑,
51', Ramon 🟨,
55', Derik Lacerda 🟨,
55', Derik Lacerda ↓, Clayson ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Pedro ⚽, Ayrton Lucas (A),
74', Rikelme ↓, Bruno Alves ↑,
84', Lorran ↓, Carlinhos ↑,
84', Werton ↓, Matheus Goncalves ↑,
90', Denilson Alves ↓, Guilherme Madruga ↑,
90', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Eliel ↑,
90+3', Guilherme Madruga 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 3.

Flamengo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Cuiabá is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Flamengo is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Flamengo: Everton (Injury)

There will not play in Cuiabá: Deyverson (Injury) Max Alves (Injury)

There are questionable in Flamengo: Igor Jesus (Injury)

Our prediction for today's Flamengo to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Flamengo won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Flamengo won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
03.07.24	Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo	2:4 ✺
30.06.24	Flamengo - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
26.06.24	Juventude - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
23.06.24	Fluminense - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
20.06.24	Flamengo - Bahia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie A
03.07.24	Cuiabá - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
29.06.24	Cuiabá - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
26.06.24	Corinthians - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	Cuiabá - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
19.06.24	São Paulo - Cuiabá	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
03.12.23	Flamengo - Cuiabá	2:1
06.08.23	Cuiabá - Flamengo	3:0
08.10.22	Cuiabá - Flamengo	1:2
15.06.22	Flamengo - Cuiabá	2:0
17.10.21	Flamengo - Cuiabá	0:0
01.07.21	Cuiabá - Flamengo	0:2

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