Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie A - Round 17

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Arena Fonte Nova (Salvador)

Referee: de Oliveira Lacerda D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	MEGOGO
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Spain	Gol Stadium
Ukraine	Sport 2
World	Amazon Prime Video, Fanatiz


	Bahia		Cuiabá

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.6	6	Watch
	1.66	3.7	5.5
	1.66	3.6	5.5
	1.68	3.66	6.07
	1.71	3.6	5.36	Watch
	1.6	3.7	5.5
	1.65	3.68	5.75	Watch
	1.62	3.65	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.52)	3.65 ↓ (3.9)	5.66 ↓ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Bahia
57.3%

Draw
26%

Cuiabá
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

23.8%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

23.5%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.8%	12.1%	12.1%

Bahia - Cuiabá Predictions

Users Predictions: Bahia will win (25 of 32 users predict this - 78.13%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.81% – 92.45%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Marcos Felipe (G) 40. Cicinho 3. Gabriel Xavier 4. Kanu 25. Iago 6. Jean Lucas 19. Caio Alexandre 10. Everton Ribeiro (C) 8. Cauly 16. Thaciano 7. Ademir	1. Walter (C) 21. Railan 4. Marllon 33. Alan Empereur 23. Ramon 27. Denilson Alves 30. Lucas Mineiro 88. Fernando Sobral 7. Jonathan Cafu 9. Pitta I. 22. Derik Lacerda
Substitutes
11. Biel 1. Danilo Fernandes (G) 33. David Duarte 14. de Pena C. 2. Gilberto 46. Luciano Juba 44. Marcos Victor 21. Rafael Ratao 5. Rezende 77. Tiago 15. Victor Cuesta 20. Yago Felipe	3. Allyson 97. Andre Luis 34. Bruno Alves 25. Clayson 16. Deyverson 11. Eliel 5. Filipe Augusto 19. Gimenez L. 18. Lucas Fernandes 14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 10. Max Alves 20. Rikelme
Coaches
Rogerio Ceni	Petit

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Pitta I. ⚽, Fernando Sobral (A),
37', Denilson Alves 🟨,
44', Alan Empereur 🟨,
45', de Pena C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ademir ↓, Biel ↑,
46', Cicinho ↓, Gilberto ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Jean Lucas ⚽, Everton Ribeiro (A),
51', 1 - 2, Pitta I. ⚽, Denilson Alves (A),
59', Gabriel Xavier 🟨,
61', Denilson Alves ↓, Filipe Augusto ↑,
72', Pitta I. ↓, Deyverson ↑,
72', Jean Lucas ↓, Rafael Ratao ↑,
80', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Eliel ↑,
80', Fernando Sobral ↓, Bruno Alves ↑,
80', Derik Lacerda ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
81', Biel ↓, Luciano Juba ↑,
82', Thaciano ↓, de Pena C. ↑,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 16).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Bahia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bahia is a favorite.

There will not play in Bahia: Nicolas Acevedo (Injury)

There will not play in Cuiabá: Andre Luis (Injury) Filipe Augusto (Injury) Railan (Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bahia won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Bahia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie A
10.07.24	Athletico Paranaense - Bahia	1:3 ✺
07.07.24	Palmeiras - Bahia	2:0 ✺
04.07.24	Bahia - Juventude	2:0 ✺
30.06.24	São Paulo - Bahia	3:1 ✺
26.06.24	Bahia - Vasco da Gama	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWLW
- Cuiabá EC
Brazilian Serie A
06.07.24	Flamengo - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
03.07.24	Cuiabá - Botafogo RJ	1:2 ✺
29.06.24	Cuiabá - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
26.06.24	Corinthians - Cuiabá	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	Cuiabá - Atlético Goianiense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
09.11.23	Bahia - Cuiabá	0:3
08.07.23	Cuiabá - Bahia	1:1
21.11.21	Bahia - Cuiabá	0:0
07.08.21	Cuiabá - Bahia	1:1

Upcoming Matches