The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CS Alagoano 49%
Draw 31.2%
Chapecoense 19.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
31.5%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.9%
30.8%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.5%
58.8%
17.6%
CS Alagoano - Chapecoense Predictions
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. CSA will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 6 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 58.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 42.3% – 75.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 14).
Recent matches CSA is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Chapecoense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Chapecoense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match CSA is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches CSA won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.
Including matches at home between the teams CSA won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.