Match Info

Serie B - Round 15

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cumbayá		22 de Julio

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.90	6.70
	1.42	4.24	7.65
	1.45	4.06	7.55	Watch
	1.40	4.10	7.55
	1.38	4.00	7.85
	1.43	3.95	6.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (2.17)	4.04 ↑ (2.88)	7.35 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cumbayá
64.8%

Draw
22.7%

22 de Julio
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

31.5%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

30.1%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cumbayá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cumbayá's performance.

22 de Julio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 22 de Julio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (-21%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cumbayá that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 22 de Julio than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 22 de Julio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Cumbayá - 22 de Julio Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cumbayá (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Cumbayá (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cumbayá will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cumbayá (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, ⚽,
68', 3 - 0, ⚽,
78', 4 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

Cumbayá has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

22 de Julio's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cumbayá is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cumbayá won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 2.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cumbayá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
10.06.26	Gualaceo - Cumbayá	1:0 ✺
04.06.26	Vinotinto - Cumbayá	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Cumbayá - Independiente Juniors	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - Cumbayá	0:0 ✺
13.05.26	Cumbayá - LDU Portoviejo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTWTT
- 22 de Julio FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
09.06.26	22 de Julio - Atlético Rojiblanco	0:1 ✺
05.06.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - 22 de Julio	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	22 de Julio - San Antonio	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Cuenca Juniors - 22 de Julio	3:0 ✺
16.05.26	22 de Julio - Independiente Juniors	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
17.04.26	22 de Julio - Cumbayá	1:3
15.10.25	22 de Julio - Cumbayá	1:3
16.09.25	Cumbayá - 22 de Julio	2:0
10.06.25	22 de Julio - Cumbayá	1:0
01.04.25	Cumbayá - 22 de Julio	4:0

Cumbayá - 22 de Julio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide