Match Info

Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra (Ibarra)


	Imbabura		22 de Julio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.56	3.35	1.68	Watch
	1.64	3.78	4.51	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (1.7)	3.54 ↑ (3.5)	3.48 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imbabura
37.2%

Draw
31.1%

22 de Julio
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

25.8%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

27.6%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imbabura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Imbabura's form might have worsened.

22 de Julio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting 22 de Julio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (+19.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Imbabura, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 22 de Julio than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for 22 de Julio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Imbabura - 22 de Julio Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Imbabura will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Imbabura (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Imbabura has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

22 de Julio's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Imbabura is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Imbabura won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Imbabura won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imbabura SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
17.09.25	Vargas Torres - Imbabura	2:1 ✺
10.09.25	Imbabura - Cumbayá	0:0 ✺
04.09.25	Imbabura - Atlético Vinotinto	0:3 ✺
28.08.25	Chacaritas - Imbabura	2:3 ✺
15.08.25	Leones del Norte - Imbabura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLWL
- 22 de Julio FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
16.09.25	Cumbayá - 22 de Julio	2:0 ✺
10.09.25	22 de Julio - Chacaritas	1:1 ✺
03.09.25	Vargas Torres - 22 de Julio	4:0 ✺
28.08.25	22 de Julio - Atlético Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	22 de Julio - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
10.08.25	Imbabura - 22 de Julio	2:0
27.05.25	22 de Julio - Imbabura	1:0

Imbabura - 22 de Julio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide