The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Curicó Unido 40.7%
Draw 29.4%
Deportes Santa Cruz 29.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.5%
26.3%
24.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
25.4%
23.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Curicó Unido's form might have worsened.
Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Santa Cruz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Curicó Unido, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Santa Cruz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Curicó Unido - Deportes Santa Cruz Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Tello D. (G) 3. Sarria G. 14. Medina C. 23. Lopez L. 37. Guzman R. 15. Sanhueza H. 8. Romo J. 17. Inostroza B. 13. Bustamante C. 9. Benegas L. (C) 20. Ramirez Cuevas A. E.
29. Dobboletta J. (C) 19. Flores E. 22. Tati D. 12. Alvarado F. 20. Cavero H. 2. Quiroz I. 14. Plaza D. 6. Orellana F. 4. Alucema G. 30. Arias D. 23. Barrios N.
Substitutes
19. de La Fuente R. 7. Fernandez N. 25. Lopes Acevedo M. 40. Oliver F. 21. Ormeno E. 10. Retamales J. 1. Vergara T. (G)
8. Acevedo D. 35. Brito P. 27. Castillo C. 3. Guerrero N. 26. Moreno C. 28. Quezada M. 9. Zeineddin N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Sarria G. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Barrios N. ⚽,
45+1', Barrios N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Romo J. ↓, Ormeno E. ↑,
46', Inostroza B. ↓, Lopes Acevedo M. ↑,
46', Ramirez Cuevas A. E. ↓, Fernandez N. ↑,
58', 1 - 1, Benegas L. ⚽,
60', Orellana F. 🟨,
64', Lopez L. 🟥,
68', Barrios N. ↓, Brito P. ↑,
68', Orellana F. ↓, Castillo C. ↑,
77', Benegas L. ↓, Oliver F. ↑,
78', Fernandez N. 🟨,
80', Quiroz I. ↓, Moreno C. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Arias D. ⚽,
90+2', Arias D. ↓, Zeineddin N. ↑,
90+7', Fernandez N. 🟥,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 1.
Recent performances by Curicó Unido have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Deportes Santa Cruz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Deportes Santa Cruz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Curicó Unido will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Curicó Unido won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Curicó Unido won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Curico Unido
26
6
9
11
22:39
-17
24
14
CD Santa Cruz
26
4
10
12
27:40
-13
22
Last Results with these Odds
Deportes Santa Cruz - the odds 3.7 are the expected chance of winning is 24.2%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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Tello D. (G) 
Sarria G. 
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