Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 22 September 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Referee: Ordonez E. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cusco		ADT Tarma

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.2	7.5	Watch
	1.4	4.55	7.1
	1.4	4.62	7.32
	1.44	4.14	7.40	Watch
	1.43	4.5	7.15	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.29)	4.24 ↓ (5)	6.79 ↓ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cusco
63.9%

Draw
22.2%

ADT Tarma
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

18%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cusco's form might have worsened.

ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Cusco - ADT Tarma Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cusco (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Cusco (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cusco will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cusco (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Diaz P. (G) 8. Fuentes A. 19. Gamarra C. 6. Ampuero A. 24. Ruidias M. 16. Valenzuela O. 26. Silva N. (C) 14. Diez C. 10. Colman I. 22. Colitto L. 9. Callejo F.	25. Hermoza E. (G) 3. Narvaez J. 28. Soto J. 55. Dulanto G. 6. Bersano F. 29. Robles A. 24. Perez A. 14. Cabello C. 77. Da Luz M. 7. Rojas J. 88. Barreto G.
Substitutes
32. Aquino J. 5. Aucca M. 4. Custodio A. 7. Da Silva P. 18. Galvez S. 3. Milesi A. 11. Tevez J. 13. Vidal A. (G) 21. Zevallos J.	15. Alvino J. 31. Bazan N. 1. Grados C. (G) 65. Gutierrez A. 27. Hidalgo A. 23. Montenegro D. 8. Moyano A. 18. Pinto O. 99. Rodriguez P.
Coaches
Rondelli M.	Melgarejo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Rojas J. ⚽, Barreto G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Dulanto G. 🟨,
58', Rojas J. ↓, Montenegro D. ↑,
61', Silva N. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
61', Diez C. ↓, Da Silva P. ↑,
66', Narvaez J. 🟨,
74', Ampuero A. ↓, Custodio A. ↑,
74', Ruidias M. ↓, Aquino J. ↑,
79', Colman I. 🟨,
84', Da Luz M. ↓, Bazan N. ↑,
84', Barreto G. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
86', 0 - 2, Montenegro D. ⚽, Bazan N. (A),
88', Cabello C. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 and 13).

Cusco has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

ADT's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Cusco is a strong favorite.

There are questionable in ADT: Cedron V. (Knee Injury)

We predict that Cusco will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1
18.09.25	Ayacucho - Cusco	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Cusco - Sporting Cristal	3:2 ✺
22.08.25	Juan Pablo II College - Cusco	0:0 ✺
17.08.25	Cusco - Alianza Atlético	1:0 ✺
04.08.25	Cajamarca - Cusco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWTWW
- ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1
16.09.25	ADT Tarma - Cajamarca	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Escuela Municipal Binacional - ADT Tarma	Canceled ✺
31.08.25	Atlético Grau - ADT Tarma	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Alianza Lima - ADT Tarma	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 W?LTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
28.04.25	ADT Tarma - Cusco	2:1
17.09.24	ADT Tarma - Cusco	1:2
14.04.24	Cusco - ADT Tarma	3:2
02.09.23	Cusco - ADT Tarma	1:0
16.04.23	ADT Tarma - Cusco	0:2

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