The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Grau 48.3%
Draw 28.5%
ADT Tarma 23.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.6%
25.4%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.9%
25.2%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Grau's form might have worsened.
ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Grau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Atlético Grau - ADT Tarma Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 2 - 50%). ADT will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Grau (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Grau (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez P. (C) 8. Vasquez C. 27. Tapia R. 2. Acevedo L. 3. Tapia I. 25. Alfaro Martinez G. E. 7. Barreto D. 13. Oncoy F. 5. Guarderas R. 20. Vasquez A. 99. Fernandez A.
30. Valencia J. (G) 98. Ramos A. 99. Pereyra J. 28. Soto J. 44. Benincasa H. 6. Ojeda A. 16. Perez L. 77. Lucumi J. 7. Rojas J. (C) 22. Rodriguez A. 24. Peralta S.
Substitutes
16. Ataupillco J. 96. Benites Vargas L. E. 33. Calderon A. (G) 21. Correa E. 77. Da Luz M. 10. de la Cruz P. 15. Lavandeira Hernandez P. 4. Rodriguez D. 24. Ruidiaz Y.
15. Alvino J. 32. Bauman J. 25. Garcia S. 26. Garcilazo J. 27. Hidalgo A. 18. Mazzo A. 31. Navarro J. 3. Rugel L. 33. Solis C. (G)
Coaches
Ameli G.
Carrillo G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Vasquez C. 🟨,
23', Ramos A. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Alvarez P. (Penalty Awarded),
27', Vasquez C. 🟨,
45+3', Alfaro Martinez G. E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vasquez A. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
58', Tapia I. 🟨,
61', 1 - 1, Benincasa H. ⚽, Rodriguez A. (A),
69', Fernandez A. ↓, Da Luz M. ↑,
69', Barreto D. ↓, de la Cruz P. ↑,
69', Valencia J. 🟨,
73', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
76', Peralta S. ↓, Bauman J. ↑,
77', Peralta S. 🟨,
82', Oncoy F. ↓, Correa E. ↑,
82', Alfaro Martinez G. E. ↓, Lavandeira Hernandez P. ↑,
88', Bauman J. 🟥,
89', Rojas J. 🟨,
89', Ojeda A. ↓, Alvino J. ↑,
89', Rodriguez A. ↓, Mazzo A. ↑,
90+6', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 11th and 17th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 2.
The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.
Grau could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Grau is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for ADT: Nunez O.
(Yellow Cards).
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Grau has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:12 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Grau against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 9:4 goals (averaging 2.3:1 per game).
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Alvarez P. (C) 
Tapia R. 
Tapia I. 
Barreto D. 
Valencia J. (G) 
Pereyra J. 
Rojas J. (C) 
