Match Info

Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 2

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana)

Referee: Espinoza J. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Fanatiz
Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Atlético Grau		ADT Tarma

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	5.25	Watch
	1.58	3.6	4.75
	1.65	3.85	4.8	Watch
	1.63	3.75	5.09
	1.68	3.52	5.30	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5
	1.64	3.84	5.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.84)	3.7 ↑ (3.5)	5.06 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Grau
56.7%

Draw
25%

ADT Tarma
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

26.9%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

28.7%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Grau's performance.

ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Atlético Grau - ADT Tarma Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Grau (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Grau (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Grau (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Grau (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez P. (G) 11. Bandiera N. 13. Franco D. 27. Tapia R. 14. Bolivar J. 5. Guarderas R. 8. Soto D. 17. Reyes J. 10. de la Cruz P. 7. Garro J. 99. Ruidiaz R.	1. Grados C. (G) 24. Perez A. 16. Choi G. 28. Soto J. 55. Dulanto G. 15. Alvino J. 8. Moyano A. 7. Rojas J. 29. Robles A. 31. Bazan N. 9. Rengifo H.
Substitutes
2. Cavagna F. 26. Flores A. 12. Fuentes A. (G) 29. Garcia B. 24. Olivares C. 6. Rodas E. 33. Ruidiaz Y. 9. Sandoval T. 20. Vasquez A.	88. Barreto G. 6. Bersano F. 14. Cabello C. 37. Fernandez A. 26. Garcilazo J. 65. Gutierrez A. 25. Hermoza E. (G) 18. Pinto O. 22. Reyes J.
Coaches
Comizzo A.	Melgarejo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Bandiera N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Moyano A. ↓, Cabello C. ↑,
46', Rengifo H. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Ruidiaz R. ⚽, Bandiera N. (A),
55', Choi G. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
56', Tapia R. ↓, Rodas E. ↑,
62', Garro J. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
65', Perez A. 🟨,
66', Bazan N. 🟨,
67', Perez A. ↓, Bersano F. ↑,
68', Bazan N. ↓, Barreto G. ↑,
83', Reyes J. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
83', Bandiera N. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
90', Sandoval T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

ADT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Grau is seen as the favorite.

There are questionable in Grau: Soto D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in ADT: Rojas J. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Grau won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1
24.08.25	Cienciano - Atlético Grau	1:0 ✺
15.08.25	Atlético Grau - Comerciantes Unidos	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	Los Chankas - Atlético Grau	3:2 ✺
06.08.25	Atlético Grau - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:1 ✺
31.07.25	Universitario de Deportes - Atlético Grau	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1
24.08.25	ADT Tarma - FBC Melgar	2:2 ✺
16.08.25	Alianza Lima - ADT Tarma	3:1 ✺
09.08.25	ADT Tarma - Sport Huancayo	1:0 ✺
04.08.25	Sport Boys - ADT Tarma	1:0 ✺
31.07.25	ADT Tarma - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
15.02.25	ADT Tarma - Atlético Grau	4:3
04.08.24	ADT Tarma - Atlético Grau	1:2
25.02.24	Atlético Grau - ADT Tarma	2:2
23.07.23	ADT Tarma - Atlético Grau	1:0
19.02.23	Atlético Grau - ADT Tarma	1:1
04.09.22	ADT Tarma - Atlético Grau	1:1
16.04.22	Atlético Grau - ADT Tarma	4:1

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