Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ortega K. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Peru	17:30	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	18:30	Fanatiz


	Cusco		Los Chankas

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.9	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.1
	1.9	3.45	3.85	Watch
	1.9	3.57	3.95
	1.91	3.49	3.94	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.8
	1.88	3.52	3.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.68)	3.46 ↓ (3.71)	3.92 ↓ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cusco
49.5%

Draw
26.8%

Los Chankas
23.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.7%

25.2%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

25.6%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cusco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cusco's form might have worsened.

Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cusco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Los Chankas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Cusco - Los Chankas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cusco will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Los Chankas will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Diaz P. (G) 24. Ruidias M. 8. Fuentes A. 2. Gamarra C. 21. Zevallos J. 88. Soto D. 16. Valenzuela O. 10. Colman I. (C) 22. Colitto L. 9. Callejo F. 7. Manzaneda J.	1. Camacho H. (G) 18. Takeuchi O. (C) 24. Rizzo G. 33. Pimienta C. 26. Gonzales D. 31. Quintana A. 8. Quiroz A. 5. Palomino J. 6. Ayarza A. 10. Torres F. 20. Torres M.
Substitutes
6. Ampuero A. 15. Bolivar J. 27. Carabajal G. 37. Choi G. 14. Diez C. 77. Herrera Joel 26. Silva N. 11. Tevez J. 13. Vidal A. (G)	27. Barrios K. 77. Espinoza Vega F. E. 14. Guevara B. 30. Kaufman M. 89. Posito J. 12. Pretel L. (G) 11. Quintero J. 15. Sanchez K. 17. Velarde C.
Coaches
Orfila A.	Paolella W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Callejo F. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 0, Tevez J. ⚽,
61', Takeuchi O. 🟨,
63', Quintana A. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
63', Takeuchi O. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
64', Pimienta C. 🟨,
68', Valenzuela O. 🟨,
71', Manzaneda J. ↓, Silva N. ↑,
72', Valenzuela O. ↓, Diez C. ↑,
72', Colman I. ↓, Carabajal G. ↑,
73', Quiroz A. ↓, Sanchez K. ↑,
76', Sanchez K. 🟨,
82', Gonzales D. ↓, Guevara B. ↑,
82', Ayarza A. ↓, Espinoza Vega F. E. ↑,
84', Carabajal G. 🟨,
84', Colitto L. ↓, Herrera Joel ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Torres M. ⚽, Espinoza Vega F. E. (A),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cusco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Cusco is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Cusco	13	7	0	6	24:19	5	21
14	Los Chankas	13	3	3	7	14:29	-15	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cusco FC
Copa Libertadores
06.05.26	Cusco - Estudiantes La Plata	1:1 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
03.05.26	Sporting Cristal - Cusco	2:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
30.04.26	Independiente Medellín - Cusco	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
26.04.26	Cusco - Sport Huancayo	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	Cusco - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTLWW
- CD Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 1
04.05.26	Los Chankas - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:1 ✺
27.04.26	ADT Tarma - Los Chankas	4:0 ✺
23.04.26	Los Chankas - Cienciano	1:0 ✺
17.04.26	Los Chankas - Atlético Grau	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Cajamarca - Los Chankas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
04.10.25	Los Chankas - Cusco	2:1
17.05.25	Cusco - Los Chankas	3:3
17.10.24	Cusco - Los Chankas	2:1
04.05.24	Los Chankas - Cusco	2:0
Peruvian Liga 2
14.08.22	Los Chankas - Cusco	1:1
15.05.22	Cusco - Los Chankas	2:1
Peruvian Copa Bicentenario
30.06.19	Los Chankas - Cusco	0:3

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