Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)

Referee: Guadalupe W. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cusco		Cajamarca

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.36	4.55	8.4	Watch
	1.36	4.75	10.61
	1.47	4.32	6.6	Watch
	1.36	4.5	8
	1.39	4.78	7.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.39)	4.61 ↑ (4.6)	8.05 ↑ (7.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cusco
67.9%

Draw
20.4%

Cajamarca
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

20.3%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

14.6%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cusco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cajamarca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Cusco - Cajamarca Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cusco will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Cajamarca will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Diaz P. (G) 21. Zevallos J. 8. Fuentes A. 2. Gamarra C. 15. Bolivar J. 16. Valenzuela O. 14. Diez C. 26. Silva N. 10. Colman I. (C) 22. Colitto L. 11. Tevez J.	1. Mosquera C. (G) 30. Vega J. C. 14. Rodas A. 5. Bernaola B. 26. Timana H. 18. Orejuela J. G. 10. Lavandeira Hernandez P. (C) 31. Enciso S. 11. Arrasco M. 20. Meza C. 19. Peralta S.
Substitutes
17. Ali Gutierrez J. D. 32. Astudillo J. 5. Aucca M. 9. Callejo F. 27. Carabajal G. 7. Manzaneda J. 24. Ruidias M. 88. Soto D. 13. Vidal A. (G)	12. Aspajo S. (G) 9. Barcos H. 27. Betancourt J. 44. Gomez C. 29. Ocas F. 67. Paico K. 17. Palacios B. 25. Paucar E. 4. Rosell Delgado J. A.
Coaches
Orfila A.	Ayala Gavilan C. R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Timana H. 🟨,
28', Fuentes A. 🟨,
33', Peralta S. ↓, Barcos H. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Orejuela J. G. 🟨,
58', Colitto L. ↓, Manzaneda J. ↑,
58', Bolivar J. ↓, Ruidias M. ↑,
58', Tevez J. ↓, Callejo F. ↑,
61', Arrasco M. ↓, Paucar E. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Callejo F. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Colman I. ↓, Carabajal G. ↑,
80', Silva N. ↓, Soto D. ↑,
83', Timana H. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 18).

In recent matches, Cusco has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cajamarca is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Cajamarca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Cusco has had a series of away games.

In this match, Cusco is the obvious favorite.

There are questionable in Cajamarca: Gallardo J. (Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Cusco	10	6	0	4	19:14	5	18
13	FC Cajamarca	11	3	2	6	18:24	-6	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cusco FC
Peruvian Liga 1
18.04.26	Alianza Lima - Cusco	8:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
14.04.26	Estudiantes La Plata - Cusco	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Cusco - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
04.04.26	FBC Melgar - Cusco	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Moquegua - Cusco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LLLWW
- FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
18.04.26	Cajamarca - ADT Tarma	2:2 ✺
06.04.26	Cajamarca - Los Chankas	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Cienciano - Cajamarca	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos	3:4 ✺
06.03.26	Atlético Grau - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

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