Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 9

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Héroes de San Ramón (Cajamarca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Cajamarca		Los Chankas

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.42	3.15	2.88	Watch
	2.43	3.35	2.92
	2.37	3.41	2.86	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.8
	2.43	3.2	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.21)	3.24 ↓ (3.4)	2.85 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cajamarca
38.7%

Draw
28.7%

Los Chankas
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

27%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

26.9%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Cajamarca - Los Chankas Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Los Chankas will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Los Chankas: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Chankas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Cajamarca (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 50%). Los Chankas (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mosquera C. (G) 30. Vega J. C. 14. Rodas A. 26. Timana H. 5. Bernaola B. 18. Orejuela J. G. 6. Miguez P. 93. Rodriguez A. 23. Andrade T. 20. Meza C. 9. Barcos H. (C)	1. Camacho H. (G) 18. Takeuchi O. (C) 33. Pimienta C. 2. Gonzalez H. 26. Gonzales D. 31. Quintana A. 5. Palomino J. 15. Sanchez K. 8. Quiroz A. 11. Quintero J. 10. Torres F.
Substitutes
32. Alegria P. 11. Arrasco M. 12. Aspajo S. (G) 27. Betancourt J. 31. Enciso S. 44. Gomez C. 67. Paico K. 25. Paucar E. 19. Peralta S.	6. Ayarza A. 27. Barrios K. 14. Guevara B. 30. Kaufman M. 89. Posito J. 12. Pretel L. (G) 24. Rizzo G. 20. Torres M. 17. Velarde C.
Coaches
Ayala Gavilan C. R.	Paolella W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Quiroz A. ⚽, Takeuchi O. (A),
32', Andrade T. 🟨,
37', Gonzalez H. ↓, Kaufman M. ↑,
41', Meza C. 🟨,
45+3', Kaufman M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Meza C. ↓, Betancourt J. ↑,
46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Peralta S. ↑,
46', Miguez P. ↓, Arrasco M. ↑,
64', Timana H. 🟨,
73', Rodas A. 🟨,
75', Quiroz A. ↓, Ayarza A. ↑,
75', Quintero J. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
84', Quintana A. ↓, Rizzo G. ↑,
84', Torres F. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
90+1', Vega J. C. ↓, Enciso S. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )).

Cajamarca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Los Chankas is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Cajamarca: Lagos R. (Red Card)

There will not play in Los Chankas: Saravia F. (Knee Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	FC Cajamarca	11	3	2	6	18:24	-6	11
15	Los Chankas	11	2	3	6	11:24	-13	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1
20.03.26	Cienciano - Cajamarca	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos	3:4 ✺
06.03.26	Atlético Grau - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Universitario de Deportes - Cajamarca	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Cajamarca - FBC Melgar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLLW
- CD Los Chankas
Peruvian Liga 1
21.03.26	Los Chankas - Sporting Cristal	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Juan Pablo II College - Los Chankas	2:3 ✺
08.03.26	Los Chankas - Universitario de Deportes	3:1 ✺
27.02.26	FBC Melgar - Los Chankas	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Los Chankas - Sport Huancayo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 43.4 WWWWW

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