The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ADT Tarma 40.7%
Draw 27.5%
Los Chankas 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
30.3%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.1%
31.3%
15.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ADT Tarma's form might have worsened.
Los Chankas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Los Chankas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ADT Tarma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Chankas than the current prediction. (-16%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Los Chankas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
ADT Tarma - Los Chankas Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Los Chankas will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for Los Chankas: 45% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Valencia J. (G) 15. Alvino J. 23. Narvaez J. 28. Soto J. 20. Gutierrez A. 16. Perez L. 8. Guivin Tanta J. 22. Rodriguez A. 10. Cedron V. (C) 7. Rojas J. 9. Rengifo H.
1. Camacho H. (G) 18. Takeuchi O. (C) 24. Rizzo G. 33. Pimienta C. 26. Gonzales D. 31. Quintana A. 15. Sanchez K. 5. Palomino J. 8. Quiroz A. 10. Torres F. 11. Quintero J.
Substitutes
32. Bauman J. 21. Benites Vargas L. E. 4. Biojo R. 14. Cabello C. 27. Hidalgo A. 31. Navarro J. 37. Rengifo N. 33. Solis C. (G) 5. Vega J.
6. Ayarza A. 27. Barrios K. 14. Guevara B. 30. Kaufman M. 7. Ospina J. 89. Posito J. 12. Pretel L. (G) 20. Torres M. 17. Velarde C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Narvaez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Gutierrez A. ↓, Hidalgo A. ↑,
56', 1 - 0, Cedron V. ⚽, Narvaez J. (A),
61', Rodriguez A. ↓, Cabello C. ↑,
61', Rengifo H. ↓, Bauman J. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Bauman J. ⚽, Rojas J. (A),
65', Cedron V. 🟨,
66', Sanchez K. ↓, Ayarza A. ↑,
66', Quintana A. ↓, Torres M. ↑,
68', Takeuchi O. ↓, Ospina J. ↑,
68', Palomino J. 🟨,
70', Cedron V. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Bauman J. ⚽,
80', Alvino J. ↓, Navarro J. ↑,
83', Quintero J. ↓, Barrios K. ↑,
83', Gonzales D. ↓, Guevara B. ↑,
84', Cabello C. 🟨,
84', Cabello C. 🟥,
90+2', 4 - 0, Benites Vargas L. E. ⚽, Bauman J. (A),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2).
ADT has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Los Chankas is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Los Chankas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in ADT: Arakaki H.
(Injury)
There will not play in Los Chankas: Saravia F.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Los Chankas: Gonzalez H.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, ADT won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Peru
Usa
Watch
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Valencia J. (G) 
Alvino J. 
Narvaez J. 
Rizzo G. 
Torres F. 
Ayarza A. 
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