Match Info

Cymru South - Round 23

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Newport City		Llantwit Major

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.35
	2	3.48	3.35
	2.05	3.5	3.39	Watch
	2	3.1	3.2
	1.99	3.34	3.35
	2.14	3.2	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.92)	3.32 ↓ (3.38)	3.27 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport City
44.9%

Draw
27.3%

Llantwit Major
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.8%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Llantwit Major has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Newport City - Llantwit Major Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Tweedy T. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Farrah C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 2 - 1, Steadman K. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 9).

In recent matches, Newport City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Newport City will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Newport City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Newport City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Newport City	7	2	2	3	10:6	4	8
15	Llantwit Major	8	2	1	5	7:20	-13	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport City FC
Welsh Cymru South
13.02.26	Afan Lido - Newport City	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Newport City - Aberystwyth Town	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	Cambrian United - Newport City	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Newport City - Caerau Ely	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Newport City - Cwmbran Celtic	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLTT
- Llantwit Major FC
Welsh Cymru South
14.02.26	Llantwit Major - Cwmbran Celtic	3:1 ✺
30.01.26	Carmarthen Town - Llantwit Major	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Llantwit Major - Baglan Dragons	0:0 ✺
26.12.25	Cardiff Draconians - Llantwit Major	2:0 ✺
05.12.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Llantwit Major	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
08.11.25	Llantwit Major - Newport City	2:2
28.03.25	Newport City - Llantwit Major	2:1
12.10.24	Llantwit Major - Newport City	1:1
Welsh League Cup
20.07.24	Llantwit Major - Newport City	2:0

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