Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 29

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Palma de Mallorca)

Referee: Bengoetxea R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2, Canal+ Sport 5
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Mallorca		Granada

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	5.25	Watch
	1.8	3.3	5
	1.87	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.83	3.46	5.6
	1.81	3.45	5.37
	1.8	3.4	4.75
	1.88	3.51	5.02	Watch
	1.84	3.35	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.87)	3.4 ↑ (3.36)	5.09 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mallorca
52.7%

Draw
28.4%

Granada
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

28.4%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

28.5%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.8%	13.8%	3.4%

Mallorca - Granada Predictions

Users Predictions: Mallorca will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rajkovic P. (G) 20. Gonzalez G. 2. Nastasic M. 21. Raillo A. 6. Copete J. 3. Lato T. 18. Sanchez A. 5. Mascarell O. 14. Rodriguez D. 17. Larin C. 7. Muriqi V.	25. Batalla A. (G) 2. Bruno Mendez 22. Piatkowski K. 14. Miquel I. 15. Neva C. 24. Villar G. 23. Gumbau G. 18. Jozwiak K. 19. Pellistri F. 7. Boye L. 11. Uzuni M.
Substitutes
11. Costa J. 10. Darder S. 13. Greif D. (G) 19. Llabres J. 15. Maffeo P. 8. Morlanes M. 25. Pichu Cuellar (G) 9. Prats A. 23. Radonjic N. 4. Van Der Heyden S. 22. Vidal N.	8. Arezo M. 9. Callejon J. 17. Corbeanu T. 1. Fernandez R. (G) 6. Hongla M. 3. Maouassa F. 13. Martinez M. (G) 21. Melendo O. 10. Puertas A. 4. Rubio M. 12. Sanchez R. 28. Torrente R.
Coaches
Aguirre J.	Medina A.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mallorca won 0.

Recent matches Mallorca is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Granada is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Granada could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mallorca is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Mallorca won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 12-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Mallorca won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Mallorca
Spanish LaLiga
08.03.24	Barcelona - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Mallorca - Girona	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
27.02.24	Real Sociedad - Mallorca	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga
24.02.24	Deportivo Alavés - Mallorca	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Mallorca - Real Sociedad	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 LWWTL
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga
09.03.24	Granada - Real Sociedad	2:3 ✺
03.03.24	Villarreal - Granada	5:1 ✺
18.02.24	Granada - Almería	1:1 ✺
11.02.24	Barcelona - Granada	3:3 ✺
03.02.24	Granada - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
26.08.23	Granada - Mallorca	3:2
07.05.22	Mallorca - Granada	2:6
19.12.21	Granada - Mallorca	4:1
16.07.20	Mallorca - Granada	1:2
05.01.20	Granada - Mallorca	1:0
Spanish LaLiga2
04.06.19	Mallorca - Granada	1:1
14.10.18	Granada - Mallorca	1:0

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