Match Info

LaLiga - Round 17

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)

Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Sports 5, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Valencia		Mallorca

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	4	Watch
	2.02	3.25	3.95	Watch
	2.08	3.24	4.21
	1.99	3.24	4.24	Watch
	2	3.1	3.9
	2.08	3.35	4.22	Watch
	2.05	3.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.91)	3.23 ↓ (3.49)	4.07 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valencia
47%

Draw
29.6%

Mallorca
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.2%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

27%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.7%	25%	13.3%

Valencia - Mallorca Predictions

Users Predictions: 59 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 36 - 61%). Mallorca will win (votes: 8 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 25.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 48.6% – 73.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Mallorca (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Mallorca (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 15 - 65.2%). Mallorca (votes: 2 - 8.7%). Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Agirrezabala J. (G) 3. Copete J. 14. Gaya J. (C) 12. Correia T. 5. Tarrega C. 11. Rioja L. 18. Pepelu 23. Ugrinic F. 10. Almeida A. 9. Duro H. 15. Beltran L.	1. Roman L. (G) 23. Maffeo P. 21. Raillo A. (C) 24. Valjent M. 22. Mojica J. 8. Morlanes M. 12. Samu Costa 6. Sanchez A. 17. Virgili J. 7. Muriqi V. 18. Joseph M.
Substitutes
28. Abril V. (G) 7. Danjuma A. 4. Diakhaby M. 20. Foulquier D. 8. Guerra J. 16. Lopez D. 19. Raba D. 17. Ramazani L. 13. Rivero C. (G) 26. Rubo 22. Santamaria B. 21. Vazquez J.	11. Asano T. 13. Bergstrom L. (G) 10. Darder S. 30. Domenech M. 4. Kumbulla M. 3. Lato T. 19. Llabres J. 27. Lopez D. 2. Morey Bauza M. 9. Prats A. 26. Salhi I. 20. Torre P.
Coaches
Corberan C.	Arrasate J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Samu Costa ⚽, Raillo A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Samu Costa 🟨,
52', Corberan C. 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, Duro H. ⚽, Correia T. (A),
58', Morlanes M. ↓, Darder S. ↑,
66', Virgili J. ↓, Kumbulla M. ↑,
66', Ugrinic F. 🟨,
72', Rioja L. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
72', Ugrinic F. ↓, Guerra J. ↑,
76', Correia T. ↓, Foulquier D. ↑,
76', Almeida A. ↓, Danjuma A. ↑,
79', Roman L. 🟨,
87', Joseph M. 🟨,
87', Sanchez A. ↓, Morey Bauza M. ↑,
87', Joseph M. ↓, Asano T. ↑,
87', Beltran L. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
90+1', Duro H. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Valencia has had a series of away games.

In this match, Valencia is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Valencia: Comert E. (Injury) Dimitrievski S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Mallorca: Mascarell O. (International duty) Pichu Cuellar (Coach's decision) Rodriguez D. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Valencia: Beltran L. (Stomach Disorder) Danjuma A. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Valencia won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Valencia
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	Sporting de Gijón - Valencia	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.12.25	Atlético Madrid - Valencia	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Valencia - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Cartagena - Valencia	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.12.25	Rayo Vallecano - Valencia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLTWT
- RCD Mallorca
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Mallorca	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.12.25	Mallorca - Elche	3:1 ✺
05.12.25	Real Oviedo - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	Numancia - Mallorca	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.11.25	Mallorca - Osasuna	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
30.03.25	Valencia - Mallorca	1:0
29.11.24	Mallorca - Valencia	2:1
30.03.24	Valencia - Mallorca	0:0
07.10.23	Mallorca - Valencia	1:1
25.05.23	Mallorca - Valencia	1:0
22.10.22	Valencia - Mallorca	1:2
26.02.22	Mallorca - Valencia	0:1

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