Football Main Page Smart Tips. Daily.

Mallorca - Real Madrid: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

bet365Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets

#advertisement

Advertisement

Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 30
  • Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday
  • Location: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Palma de Mallorca)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
    • afghanistanAfghanistanMeraj Sport, Solh Sports 1, Tolo TV
    africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 5, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
    angolaAngolaZ Sports La Liga
    argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
    austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
    azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV, Setanta Sports 2
    bangladeshBangladeshBegin
    boliviaBoliviaTigo Sports 1
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadaTSN+
    chileChileDirecTV Sports
    chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDSports
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
    cubaCubaTele Rebelde
    czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport
    ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
    europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
    georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
    germanyGermanyDAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
    haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
    hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player
    hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
    indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
    indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
    kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
    kenyaKenyaGotv
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
    kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
    laosLaosbeIN Connect
    madagascarMadagascarUpTV
    malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
    maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
    mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
    moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
    mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Go, Ziggo Sport
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
    norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
    papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
    peruPeruDirecTV Sports
    philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    polandPolandEleven Sports 1
    portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
    romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
    singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4, Voyo
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
    south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
    spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
    swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
    switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
    tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
    thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
    turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
    uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports, DSports 1
    usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
    uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2, Zor TV
    venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
    vietnamVietnamON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV 22, SCTV Online, VTVcab
    Mallorca Real Madrid
    Mallorca Real Madrid
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 5.5 4.33 1.57 #Advertisement. Watch and Bet. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Watch
    betsson 5.4 4.45 1.58
    Bet_in_Asia 5.57 4.7 1.58
    GGBet 5.61 4.7 1.56 Watch and Bet Watch
    Williamhill 5 4.2 1.53
    BetNow 5.95 4.41 1.57 Watch and Bet Watch
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.51 ↑
    (4.87)    		 4.47 ↑
    (4.14)    		 1.57 ↓
    (1.65)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

    • The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

    #Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

    Current Win Probability

    Mallorca
    17.4%    		Draw
    21.4%    		Real Madrid
    61.2%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    19.5% 22.9% 57.6%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    19.4% 22.8% 57.8%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mallorca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    8.5% 10.2% 81.4%

    Mallorca - Real Madrid Predictions

  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +1.5 - Mallorca (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Real (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (48 of 58 users predict this - 82.76%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.04% – 92.48%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Mallorca (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Real (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
    •  Bet Now - Advertisement#ad

    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. SpainRoman L. (G)
    23. ArgentinaMaffeo P.
    24. SlovakiaValjent M. (C)
      5. EquatorialMascarell O.
    22. ColombiaMojica J.
    10. SpainDarder S.
    12. PortugalSamu Costa
      8. SpainMorlanes M.
    20. SpainTorre P.
    15. AngolaLuvumbo Z.
      7. KosovoMuriqi V.
    		13. UkraineLunin A. (C)
    12. EnglandAlexander-Arnold T.
    22. GermanyRudiger A.
    24. SpainHuijsen D.
    18. SpainCarreras A.
    37. SpainMoran M. A.
    14. FranceTchouameni A.
      6. FranceCamavinga E.
    15. TurkeyGuler A.
    21. MoroccoDiaz B.
    10. FranceMbappe K.
    Substitutes
    11. JapanAsano T.
    18. SpainJoseph M.
    30. FranceKalumba J.
      4. AlbaniaKumbulla M.
      3. SpainLato T.
    19. SpainLlabres J.
    27. SpainLopez D.
      2. SpainMorey Bauza M.
    25. SpainPichu Cuellar (G)
      9. SpainPrats A.
      6. SpainSanchez A.
    17. SpainVirgili J.
    		  4. AustriaAlaba D.
    17. SpainAsencio R.
      5. EnglandBellingham J.
      2. SpainCarvajal D.
      3. BrazilEder Militao
    26. SpainFran (G)
    20. SpainGarcia F.
    16. SpainGarcia G.
    30. ArgentinaMastantuono F.
    38. SpainPalacios C.
    45. SpainPitarch T.
      7. BrazilVinicius Junior
    Coaches
         ArgentinaDemichelis M.
    		     SpainArbeloa A.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 41', 1 - 0, Morlanes M. ⚽, Maffeo P. (A),
    • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
    • 47', Huijsen D. 🟨,
    • 59', Huijsen D. ↓, Eder Militao ↑,
    • 59', Moran M. A. ↓, Vinicius Junior ↑,
    • 59', Camavinga E. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
    • 66', Roman L. 🟨,
    • 70', Samu Costa ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
    • 70', Morlanes M. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
    • 70', Torre P. ↓, Virgili J. ↑,
    • 72', Guler A. ↓, Pitarch T. ↑,
    • 76', Diaz B. ↓, Mastantuono F. ↑,
    • 81', Luvumbo Z. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
    • 84', Valjent M. 🟨,
    • 88', 1 - 1, Eder Militao ⚽, Alexander-Arnold T. (A),
    • 90', Mastantuono F. 🟨,
    • 90+1', 2 - 1, Muriqi V. ⚽, Joseph M. (A),
    • 90+5', Maffeo P. 🟨,

    Preview

  • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 0.
  • Recent form of Mallorca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • Real is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
  • In this match, Real is considered a favorite.
  • There will not play in Mallorca: Bergstrom L. (Injury) Raillo A. (Injury) Salas J. (Knee Injury)
  • There will not play in Real: Courtois T. (Thigh Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Rodrygo (Knee Injury) Valverde F. (Red Card)
  • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Mallorca won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 10:39. (average 0.7:2.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Mallorca won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.5:1.7).

    • Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now
    Real Madrid: 20.23%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    4Real Madrid750218:81015

    Last Results with these Odds

    Mallorca - the odds 4.87 are the expected chance of winning is 19.5%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

    Real Madrid - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 57.56%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - RCD Mallorca
    Spanish LaLiga
    21.03.26 Elche - Mallorca 2:1 ✺
    15.03.26 Mallorca - Espanyol 2:1 ✺
    07.03.26 Osasuna - Mallorca 2:2 ✺
    28.02.26 Mallorca - Real Sociedad 0:1 ✺
    22.02.26 Celta de Vigo - Mallorca 2:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6
    LWTLL
    - Real Madrid
    Spanish LaLiga
    22.03.26 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 3:2 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    17.03.26 Manchester City - Real Madrid 1:2 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    14.03.26 Real Madrid - Elche 4:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    11.03.26 Real Madrid - Manchester City 3:0 ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    06.03.26 Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid 1:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1
    WWWWW
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga
    30.08.25 Real Madrid - Mallorca 2:1
    14.05.25 Real Madrid - Mallorca 2:1
    Spanish Supercopa
    09.01.25 Real Madrid - Mallorca 3:0
    Spanish LaLiga
    18.08.24 Mallorca - Real Madrid 1:1
    13.04.24 Mallorca - Real Madrid 0:1
    03.01.24 Real Madrid - Mallorca 1:0
    05.02.23 Mallorca - Real Madrid 1:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - RCD Mallorca
    Spanish LaLiga2
    11.10.26 Mallorca - Las Palmas ✺
    - Real Madrid
    UEFA Champions League
    14.10.26 Roma - Real Madrid ✺
    Spanish LaLiga
    10.10.26 Real Madrid - Villarreal ✺

    Top Bookmakers Offers

    bet365Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets

    Extensive live betting options | More markets than other online bookmaker | One of the best betting apps

    bwin.es100% bonus on 1st bet up to €200 in free bet

    Spectacular live betting section | Some Of The Highest Limits | Up to 90 different betting markets

    BetInAsiaGet 25% deposit match up to 125

    High Betting Limits | Asian Handicap Football Markets | Multiple payment options ODDS25 ODDS100

    Top Sports Predictions Today
    Spanish LaLiga
    German Bundesliga
    French Ligue 1
    WBSC Premier 12
    Euroleague
    NBA
    English League Championship
    NHL
    ATP Shanghai
    NCAA College Football
    German 2 Bundesliga
    Mexican Liga MX
    WTA Beijing
    Turkish Super League
    Italian Serie B
    About TVEvents

    TVEvents.org is a specialized sports analytics platform covering over 1,000 leagues worldwide. We combine advanced machine learning algorithms with expert human assessment to provide accurate H2H statistics, predictions, and real-time results. Our mission is to deliver professional-grade sports insights and free betting tips to fans globally.

    gambleaware.org  gamble responsibly
     gams top     play responsible

    © 2012-2026. All Rights Reserved.

    Yuriy
    yuriy.borshchenko@gmail.com
    tel: +380939832301

    Facebook Twitter RSS

    advertisement