Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 6 August 2023, Sunday

Location: St. James' Park (Newcastle)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Portugal	Sport TV5


	Newcastle United		Villarreal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.4	3.2
	1.95	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.04	3.42	3.09
	2.07	3.74	3.25	Watch
	1.95	3.7	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.04)	3.55 ↑ (3.25)	3.24 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United
46%

Draw
25.7%

Villarreal
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

28%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

27.1%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Villarreal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villarreal than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Newcastle United - Villarreal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pope N. (G) 23. Murphy J. 6. Lascelles J. (C) 3. Dummett P. 33. Burn D. 11. Ritchie M. 39. Guimaraes B. 36. Longstaff S. 7. Joelinton 9. Wilson C. 15. Barnes H.	1. Reina P. (G) 8. Foyth J. 23. Mandi A. 29. Rando A. 26. Altimira A. 16. Baena A. 10. Parejo D. 20. Terrats R. 7. Moreno G. (C) 11. Sorloth A. 28. Garcia C.
Substitutes
. Carlyon N. . De Bolle L. . Diallo A. . Gillespie M. (G) . Hackett J. . Huntley J. . McArthur C. . Miley J. . Ndiweni M. . Parkinson B. . Savage R. . Turner-Cooke J.	9. Brereton Diaz B. 4. Comesana S. 5. Cuenca J. 2. Gabbia M. 13. Jorgensen F. (G) 17. Kiko 30. Lanchi 15. Morales J. L. 27. Requena D. 32. Rodri 22. Suarez D. 18. Tasende D. 14. Trigueros M.

Preview

Newcastle is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Villarreal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Villarreal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Villarreal have a series of guest games.

Newcastle will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Newcastle United - Fiorentina	2:0 ✺
28.07.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United	1:2 ✺
26.07.23	Chelsea - Newcastle United	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Newcastle United - Aston Villa	3:3 ✺
18.07.23	Glasgow Rangers - Newcastle United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTTW
- Villarreal CF
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Nice - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
30.07.23	Sporting Lisbon - Villarreal	3:0 ✺
27.07.23	Feyenoord - Villarreal	1:1 ✺
22.07.23	Hannover - Villarreal	3:0 ✺
18.07.23	Rheindorf Altach - Villarreal	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLTLW

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