Match Info

TOPLYGA - Round 21

Date: 3 July 2026, Friday

Location: Telsiai Central Stadium (Telsiai)

Referee: Lukjancukas M. (Ltu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Džiugas Telšiai		Kauno Žalgiris

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.80	3.80	1.55
	4.60	3.55	1.58
	5.71	3.92	1.62
	5.05	4.93	1.5	Watch
	5.65	3.65	1.60
	4.58	4.02	1.66	Watch
	4.80	3.75	1.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.03 ↑ (4.6)	3.95 ↑ (3.5)	1.59 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Džiugas Telšiai
18.4%

Draw
23.4%

Kauno Žalgiris
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

25.2%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

23.9%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Džiugas Telšiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Kauno Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Džiugas Telšiai than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	8.3%	91.7%

Džiugas Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris Predictions

Users Predictions: Kauno Žalgiris will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paukste M. (G) 2. Vermeulen V. 4. Sane B. 23. Cisse I. 46. Wawszczyk J. 6. Pavlovskij N. 33. Ankudinovas L. (C) 14. Zevzikovas D. 8. Bunchukov D. 27. Vinckus D. 90. Sobowale R.	55. Svedkauskas T. (C) 45. Moutachy J. 3. Tolordava A. 77. Lekiatas R. 37. Iyobosa Edokpolor N. 8. Karashima Y. 32. Baldassarra F. 24. Burba M. 7. Benchaib A. 70. Ourega F. 19. Renan Oliveira
Substitutes
44. Asomugha B. 97. Balasanov A. 24. Okpolokpo J. 7. Pedro Bahia 10. Piliukaitis V. 91. Ryabenko V. (G) 22. Rybcynskij M. (G) 9. Scotto I. E. 48. Stelmokas T.	1. Aliukonis J. (G) 2. Burdzilauskas T. 11. Cernych F. 23. Hernandez A. 66. Jurjonas E. 99. Kadric H. 33. Konatar M. 15. Leo Ribeiro 22. Mikelionis D. (G) 6. Pavlovic D. 4. Racic L. 10. Sirgedas G.
Coaches
Lipskis A.	Sopic Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Sane B. 🟨,
45+2', Pavlovskij N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Renan Oliveira ↓, Kadric H. ↑,
58', Baldassarra F. ↓, Sirgedas G. ↑,
58', Burba M. ↓, Konatar M. ↑,
62', Wawszczyk J. 🟨,
63', Iyobosa Edokpolor N. 🟨,
65', Pavlovskij N. ↓, Piliukaitis V. ↑,
65', Bunchukov D. ↓, Scotto I. E. ↑,
70', Iyobosa Edokpolor N. ↓, Leo Ribeiro ↑,
78', Ourega F. 🟨,
79', Zevzikovas D. ↓, Stelmokas T. ↑,
79', Sobowale R. ↓, Pedro Bahia ↑,
85', Benchaib A. ↓, Racic L. ↑,
87', Vinckus D. ↓, Asomugha B. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Džiugas won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Džiugas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kauno Žalgiris is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Džiugas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 16:39. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Džiugas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 6:21. (average 0.6:2.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kauno Zalgiris	28	14	9	5	56:20	36	51
6	Dziugas Telsiai	28	10	8	10	36:40	-4	38

Last Results with these Odds

Kauno Žalgiris - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 55.71%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Džiugas Telšiai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
28.06.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Žalgiris	0:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
24.06.26	FA Šiauliai - Džiugas Telšiai	2:1 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
21.06.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Sūduva Marijampolė	1:2 ✺
17.06.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Džiugas Telšiai	1:1 ✺
12.06.26	Džiugas Telšiai - FA Šiauliai	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLTW
- FK Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuanian Cup
23.06.26	BFA Vilnius - Kauno Žalgiris	0:3 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.06.26	Transinvest - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2 ✺
17.06.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Banga Gargždai	0:1 ✺
14.06.26	Hegelmann Litauen - Kauno Žalgiris	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Žalgiris	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian TOPLYGA
05.05.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai	2:2
07.03.26	Džiugas Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2
21.09.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai	2:1
17.08.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2
09.05.25	Džiugas Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:1
08.03.25	Kauno Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai	1:2
27.10.24	Kauno Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai	0:1

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