Match Info

K League 1 - Round 25

Date: 10 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Daejeon World Cup Stadium (Daejeon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
China	K-Ball
Germany	Laola1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
South-korea	Coupang Play, IB Sports
Switzerland	LAOLA1
World	K League TV, Onefootball


	Daejeon Citizen		Suwon

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	2.8	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3
	2.25	3.4	2.88
	2.38	3.62	2.97
	1.48	4.38	6.01	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.1	Watch
	2.41	3.45	2.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.27)	3.59 ↑ (3.55)	3.38 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daejeon Citizen
44.7%

Draw
26.8%

Suwon
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

27%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

27.5%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daejeon Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Suwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daejeon Citizen than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Daejeon Citizen - Suwon Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Daejeon Citizen will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Suwon will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Suwon: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Daejeon Citizen (votes: 1 - 50%). Suwon (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lee Chang-Geun (C) 6. Kang Yun-Sung 26. Kim Min-Duk 98. Krivotsyuk A. 16. Lee Myung-Jae 66. Kim Han-Seo 30. Kim Bong-Soo 14. Kim Jun-Beom 17. Choi Geon-Joo 10. Joo Min-Kyu 19. Seo Jin-Su	23. Ahn Jun-Su (G) 2. Lee Yong (C) 4. Kim Tae-Han 20. Lee Ji-Sol 72. Lee S. 18. Han Chan-Hee 7. Lee Jae-Won 94. Ahn Hyun-Beom 97. Luan Dias 40. Kim Do-Yoon 9. Sabbag P.
Substitutes
7. Ishida M. 27. Jeong Jae-Hee 70. Kim Hyeon-Ug 72. Kim Jin-Ya 73. Lee Jun-Gyu 40. Lee K. (G) 44. Lee Soon-Min 5. Lim Jong-Eun 29. Yu Kang-Hyun	15. Andrigo 30. Choi Chi-Ung 6. Choi Kyu-Baek 1. Hwang Jae-yun (G) 22. Jang Young-Woo 19. Jung Seung-Bae 79. Kyeong-min K. 21. Seo Jae-Min 44. Willyan
Coaches
Hwang Sun-Hong	Kim Eun-joong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 1 - 0, Choi Geon-Joo ⚽,
11', Lee Ji-Sol 🟨,
21', Kim Do-Yoon ↓, Willyan ↑,
27', Lee S. 🟨,
31', Kim Jun-Beom 🟨,
45', Lee Chang-Geun ↓, Lee K. ↑,
45', Kim Han-Seo ↓, Lee Soon-Min ↑,
45+2', 1 - 1, Sabbag P. ⚽, Willyan (A),
45+4', 1 - 2, Luan Dias ⚽, Lee Yong (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Kim Min-Duk 🟨,
56', Lee Jae-Won 🟨,
56', Seo Jin-Su 🟨,
61', Han Chan-Hee ↓, Andrigo ↑,
61', Ahn Hyun-Beom ↓, Kyeong-min K. ↑,
74', Choi Geon-Joo ↓, Kim Hyeon-Ug ↑,
74', Seo Jin-Su ↓, Ishida M. ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Joo Min-Kyu ⚽, Kim Jun-Beom (A),
79', Willyan 🟨,
83', 3 - 2, Kim Jun-Beom ⚽, Lee Myung-Jae (A),
89', Lee Jae-Won ↓, Jung Seung-Bae ↑,
89', Lee Ji-Sol ↓, Choi Kyu-Baek ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daejeon Citizen won 2.

Daejeon Citizen has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Suwon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Daejeon Citizen could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daejeon Citizen won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:37. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Daejeon Citizen won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 0.7:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Suwon - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.9%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daejeon Citizen
South Korean K-League 1
27.07.25	Daejeon Citizen - FC Seoul	0:1 ✺
23.07.25	Ulsan HD - Daejeon Citizen	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Gangwon - Daejeon Citizen	2:2 ✺
27.06.25	Daejeon Citizen - Jeju	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Gwangju - Daejeon Citizen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWTTT
- Suwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
02.08.25	Ulsan HD - Suwon	2:3 ✺
26.07.25	Suwon - Anyang	2:1 ✺
22.07.25	Pohang Steelers - Suwon	1:5 ✺
18.07.25	Suwon - Gwangju	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Suwon - Gangwon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
18.05.25	Suwon - Daejeon Citizen	3:0
02.03.25	Daejeon Citizen - Suwon	1:0
10.08.24	Suwon - Daejeon Citizen	1:2
29.06.24	Daejeon Citizen - Suwon	0:2
14.04.24	Suwon - Daejeon Citizen	1:0
22.10.23	Daejeon Citizen - Suwon	1:1
01.09.23	Daejeon Citizen - Suwon	0:1

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