The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ulsan HD 44.5%
Draw 27.1%
Daejeon Citizen 28.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.6%
27.5%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.3%
26.6%
26.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulsan HD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Daejeon Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan HD than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daejeon Citizen than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
69.2%
0%
30.8%
Ulsan HD - Daejeon Citizen Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Ulsan will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Daejeon Citizen will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ulsan: 44.1% โ 94.3%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) 96. Choi Seok-Hyun 15. Jung Seung-Hyun (C) 28. Lee Jae-Ik 77. Sim Sang-Min 24. Lee Gyu-Seong 6. Bojanic D. 14. Lee Jin-Hyun 10. Lee Dong-Gyeong 17. Kang Sang-Woo 18. Heo Yool
1. Lee Chang-Geun (G) 6. Kang Yun-Sung 4. Cho Sung-Gwon 98. Krivotsyuk A. 2. Park K. 27. Jeong Jae-Hee 30. Kim Bong-Soo 7. Ishida M. 17. Ludwigson G. 44. Lee Soon-Min (C) 9. Diogo Oliveira
Substitutes
72. Baek In-Woo 26. Cho Hyun-Taek 33. Jang Si-Young 20. Jeong Jae-sang 8. Lee H. 22. Lee Min-Hyuk 9. Marcao 23. Moon Jung-In (G) 66. Trojak M.
77. Joao Victor 10. Joo Min-Kyu 70. Kim Hyeon-Ug 33. Kim Moon-Hwan 20. Lee H. 25. Lee Jun-Seo (G) 16. Lee Myung-Jae 5. Lim Jong-Eun 19. Seo Jin-Su
Coaches
Kim Hyun-seok
Hwang Sun-Hong
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
16', 0 - 1, Ludwigson G. ⚽,
29', Kang Sang-Woo 🟨,
36', Lee Dong-Gyeong 🟨,
43', 0 - 2, Jeong Jae-Hee ⚽, Diogo Oliveira (A),
45+2', 0 - 3, Diogo Oliveira ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lee Soon-Min ↓, Lee H. ↑,
46', Choi Seok-Hyun ↓, Cho Hyun-Taek ↑,
46', Kang Sang-Woo ↓, Lee H. ↑,
49', Lee Jin-Hyun ↓, Marcao ↑,
53', 0 - 4, Ishida M. ⚽,
59', Heo Yool ↓, Jang Si-Young ↑,
64', Cho Sung-Gwon 🟨,
75', Jeong Jae-Hee ↓, Kim Hyeon-Ug ↑,
75', Ludwigson G. ↓, Seo Jin-Su ↑,
76', Diogo Oliveira ↓, Joo Min-Kyu ↑,
76', Sim Sang-Min ↓, Trojak M. ↑,
89', 1 - 4, Lee Dong-Gyeong ⚽,
90', Park K. ↓, Kim Moon-Hwan ↑,
90+3', Cho Hyun-Taek 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 3.
Ulsan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Daejeon Citizen is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Daejeon Citizen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Ulsan could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ulsan won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Ulsan won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:14. (average 2.4:1.6).
Standings
Championship Group
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Ulsan HD
33
15
6
12
52:47
5
51
3
Daejeon
34
13
11
10
53:41
12
50
Last Results with these Odds
Ulsan HD - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.58%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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Germany
South Korea
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Jo Hyeon-Woo (G) 
Bojanic D. 
Krivotsyuk A. 
Ishida M. 
Diogo Oliveira 
Trojak M. 
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