Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Round 16

Date: 14 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Dalian Sports Center Stadium (Dalian)


	Dalian Kun City		Nantong Haimen Codion

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.2	3.7
				Watch
	1.9	3.2	4.02
	1.9	3.31	3.84	Watch
	1.8	3.2	3.9
	1.78	3.34	4.27
	1.81	3.3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.44)	3.26 ↑ (2.9)	3.97 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Kun City
49.3%

Draw
27.8%

Nantong Haimen Codion
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

31.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

32.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Kun City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dalian Kun City's performance.

Nantong Haimen Codion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nantong Haimen Codion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Kun City than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dalian Kun City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantong Haimen Codion than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nantong Haimen Codion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Dalian Kun City - Nantong Haimen Codion Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dalian Kun City will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Nantong Haimen will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Wang Zhuo (G) 6. Ge Hailun 10. Zhu Shiyu 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 49. Yan Shoukuan 8. Han Xu 23. Yin Lu 18. Ren W. 32. Song Chen 21. Chen Rong 9. Zhou Bingxu	55. Liang Zhenfu (G) 19. Zheng Lei 32. Qi Dan 3. Yu Jiawei 2. Luo H. 10. Li X. 60. Yin Hanlong 26. Pei Guoguang 53. Cheng Y. 50. Cheng Xin 43. Wang B.
Substitutes
55. Ali M. 26. Cai Haochen (G) 37. Chen Jiaqi 25. Cong Zhen 28. Cui Hao 4. Liu J. 40. Liu Zhizhi 14. Li Xudong 24. Ouyang Bang 17. Yang Fan 30. Yu Zeyuan 60. Zhong Ziqin	17. Bai Xianyi 45. Cao Y. 49. Chen Weijing 59. Dai Yuanji 41. Guo Kainan 21. Huang-Jiang Daya 29. Jin Hang 46. Ji Sangnan 56. Sun Qinan 1. Zhao Dongxu (G)
Coaches
Zhao Faqing	Lu Qiang

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Zhu Shiyu (Pen),
30', 2 - 0, Zhu Shiyu ⚽, Han Xu (A),
32', Song Chen 🟨,
37', Cheng Xin 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zhu Shiyu ↓, Cui Hao ↑,
54', Pei Guoguang ↓, Cao Y. ↑,
60', Zhou Bingxu ↓, Chen Jiaqi ↑,
61', Yan Shoukuan 🟨,
64', Yan Shoukuan ↓, Zhong Ziqin ↑,
67', Cheng Xin ↓, Bai Xianyi ↑,
67', Cheng Y. ↓, Jin Hang ↑,
82', Han Xu ↓, Ali M. ↑,
83', Chen Rong ↓, Liu Zhizhi ↑,
85', Wang B. ↓, Chen Weijing ↑,
85', Yin Hanlong ↓, Huang-Jiang Daya ↑,
89', 3 - 0, Cui Hao ⚽, Zhong Ziqin (A),
90+7', Ge Hailun 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Kun City
Chinese Yi League
06.07.24	Hubei Istar - Dalian Kun City	0:1 ✺
29.06.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
22.06.24	Dalian Kun City - Beijing Institute of Technology	2:0 ✺
16.06.24	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Dalian Kun City	0:2 ✺
09.06.24	Dalian Kun City - Shandong Taishan B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWL
- Nantong Haimen Codion
Chinese Yi League
07.07.24	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Nantong Haimen Codion	2:1 ✺
30.06.24	Nantong Haimen Codion - Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	1:0 ✺
25.06.24	Nantong Haimen Codion - Shaanxi Union	3:2 ✺
16.06.24	Hubei Istar - Nantong Haimen Codion	0:2 ✺
09.06.24	Nantong Haimen Codion - Taian Tiankuang	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
05.05.24	Nantong Haimen Codion - Dalian Kun City	1:1

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