Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 19

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel (Maldonado)


	Deportivo Maldonado		Atletico Fenix Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.75	2.6
	2.78	2.82	2.52
	2.84	2.94	2.59
	2.32	3.05	3.17	Watch
	2.75	2.86	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.1)	2.88 ↓ (3.3)	2.68 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Maldonado
34.3%

Draw
31.6%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

27.9%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

28.8%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Maldonado's form might have worsened.

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atletico Fenix Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Maldonado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atletico Fenix Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Deportivo Maldonado - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Maldonado (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Maldonado (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Milan F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Fenix may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Maldonado won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Maldonado won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.6:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Segunda Division
31.08.25	Rampla Juniors - Deportivo Maldonado	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Atenas de San Carlos	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	Central Español - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Rentistas - Deportivo Maldonado	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLWWL
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.08.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Oriental de La Paz	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
19.08.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	0:3 ✺
16.08.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Artigas	1:3 ✺
10.08.25	Rampla Juniors - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
15.06.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1
08.03.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
27.11.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:2
22.06.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:3
26.05.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1
12.11.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0
05.06.23	Deportivo Maldonado - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1

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