Match Info

URUGUAY: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo María Mincheff de Lazaroff (Montevideo)

Referee: Tejera G. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Uruguay	VTV+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	Danubio		Liverpool Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	3.2	Watch
	2.25	2.95	3.1
	2.23	2.9	3.15	Watch
	2.31	3.12	3.47
	2.3	3.04	3.32	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3.2
	2.25	3.16	3.24	Watch
	2.23	2.9	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.29)	3 ↑ (2.87)	3.23 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Danubio
40.7%

Draw
30.8%

Liverpool Montevideo
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

31.6%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Liverpool Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Danubio - Liverpool Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goicoechea M. (C) 27. Arguello M. 3. Risso M. 2. Velazquez E. 8. Rabino R. 11. Sanseviero L. 7. Pintos I. 19. Romero S. 21. Femia E. 9. Nunez S. 30. Fernandez S.	21. Lentinelly S. (C) 4. Perdomo F. 2. Rea M. 14. Rosso J. 18. Cayetano A. 20. Rabunal M. 8. Quintana H. 16. Acosta L. 24. Amaro K. 11. Nunez F. 10. Hernandez A.
Substitutes
10. Cantera M. 23. Gonzalez M. 5. Millan J. 25. Montana A. 15. Novick H. 24. Perg M. 26. Piriz D. 12. Rio J. (G) 6. Sosa L. 17. Velazquez A.	32. Bregante F. 26. Cabral N. 23. Castillo E. 29. de Mello G. 25. Marquez E. (G) 28. Nunez J. 15. Rodriguez D. 17. Soria N. 22. Telechea M. 31. Wasilewsky L.
Coaches
Apud A.	Papa Monestier J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Sanseviero L. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Hernandez A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Femia E. ↓, Sosa L. ↑,
62', Hernandez A. ↓, Wasilewsky L. ↑,
62', Nunez F. ↓, Soria N. ↑,
73', Pintos I. ↓, Novick H. ↑,
73', Velazquez E. ↓, Perg M. ↑,
76', Wasilewsky L. 🟨,
80', Acosta L. ↓, Telechea M. ↑,
82', Sanseviero L. ↓, Cantera M. ↑,
82', Fernandez S. ↓, Montana A. ↑,
90+6', Quintana H. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
90+6', Perdomo F. ↓, Castillo E. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Danubio won 3.

Danubio will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Danubio won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 31:26 (average 1.6:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Danubio won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.4:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Danubio - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 39.48%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Danubio FC
Serie Rio de la Plata
12.01.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Danubio	2:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.12.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Danubio	3:1 ✺
27.11.24	Danubio - Nacional Montevideo	0:0 ✺
17.11.24	Racing Montevideo - Danubio	0:0 ✺
14.11.24	Danubio - Cerro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLTTT
- Liverpool Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.11.24	Cerro - Liverpool Montevideo	1:3 ✺
26.11.24	Rampla Juniors - Liverpool Montevideo	0:1 ✺
17.11.24	Miramar Misiones - Liverpool Montevideo	2:2 ✺
13.11.24	Cerro Largo - Liverpool Montevideo	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
22.09.24	Danubio - Liverpool Montevideo	1:0
28.07.24	Danubio - Liverpool Montevideo	2:0
10.03.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Danubio	1:2
26.08.23	Liverpool Montevideo - Danubio	1:0
12.02.23	Danubio - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1
03.09.22	Danubio - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1
26.02.22	Liverpool Montevideo - Danubio	0:1

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