Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Olímpico (Montevideo)

Referee: Lasso L. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Uruguay	VTV+
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Rampla Juniors		Danubio

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.15
	3.2	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.56	3.14	2.27
	3.41	3.03	2.26	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.15
	3.3	3.3	2.16	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (3.18)	3.17 ↑ (3.12)	2.2 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

Rampla Juniors
28.3%

Draw
29.4%

Danubio
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

30%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

29.4%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rampla Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rampla Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-1%)

Rampla Juniors - Danubio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Samurio A. (G) 17. Barrandeguy F. 30. Madruga A. 23. Etcheverry J. E. 32. Arismendi D. 11. Machado G. 26. Nunez M. 15. Plada J. 14. Rosa D. 9. Polvera M. 7. Rinaldi L.	1. Goicoechea M. (G) 4. Ancheta E. 14. Brazionis 44. Fratta G. 6. Sosa L. 11. Sanseviero L. 8. Tizon C. 19. Romero S. 10. Cantera M. 30. Fernandez S. 24. Femia E.
Substitutes
16. Almeida E. 24. Bassadone L. 19. Burruzo M. 33. Camargo G. 3. Centurion L. 22. Dibble N. 5. Mendez I. 10. Mezquida N. 6. Ospitaleche F. 12. Segovia L. (G)	18. Bueno G. 23. Gonzalez M. 33. Leyes G. 13. Novick H. 16. Peralta M. 21. Pereira I. 7. Pintos I. 17. Silvestre F.
Coaches
Martinez E.	Apud A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Tizon C. ⚽,
36', Madruga A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rosa D. ↓, Bassadone L. ↑,
46', Machado G. ↓, Almeida E. ↑,
65', 🟨,
71', Madruga A. ↓, Dibble N. ↑,
71', Polvera M. ↓, Burruzo M. ↑,
72', Camargo G. 🟨,
79', Plada J. ↓, Mendez I. ↑,
80', Cantera M. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,
80', Tizon C. ↓, Etchebarne S. ↑,
87', 0 - 2, Fernandez S. ⚽, Sanseviero L. (A),
89', Fernandez S. ↓, Leyes G. ↑,
89', Sanseviero L. ↓, Pereira I. ↑,
89', Romero S. ↓, Silvestre F. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rampla Juniors won 0.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Rampla Juniors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Danubio will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Rampla Juniors won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12:25 (average 0.8:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Rampla Juniors won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 0.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rampla Juniors
Uruguayan Primera Division
01.11.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	Rampla Juniors - Nacional Montevideo	2:1 ✺
16.10.24	Racing Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Rampla Juniors - Cerro	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWLTL
- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Primera Division
02.11.24	Danubio - Miramar Misiones	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Cerro Largo - Danubio	0:0 ✺
16.10.24	Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Progreso - Danubio	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Danubio - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
16.06.24	Danubio - Rampla Juniors	2:0
03.05.24	Danubio - Rampla Juniors	1:1
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.10.21	Danubio - Rampla Juniors	2:0
15.07.21	Rampla Juniors - Danubio	0:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
06.11.19	Danubio - Rampla Juniors	1:1
20.04.19	Rampla Juniors - Danubio	0:0
21.10.18	Rampla Juniors - Danubio	0:0

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