Match Info

Date: 8 July 2021, Thursday


	Danubio		Uruguay Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.55	3.5	6
	1.55	3.45	5.8
	1.57	3.72	6.42
	1.52	3.4	6.5
	1.56	3.6	5.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.75)	3.53 ↑ (3.5)	5.95 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Danubio
58.7%

Draw
25.9%

Uruguay Montevideo
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

25.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

20.5%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Danubio's performance.

Uruguay Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Uruguay Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Danubio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	7.4%	25.9%

Danubio - Uruguay Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Danubio will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). Uruguay Montevideo will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Danubio: 48.9% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura) and 12).

Danubio is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Uruguay Montevideo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Danubio is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Danubio FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
01.07.21	Juventud de Las Piedras - Danubio	0:1 ✺
26.06.21	Danubio - Villa Teresa	1:0 ✺
20.06.21	Racing Montevideo - Danubio	2:1 ✺
15.06.21	Danubio - Atenas de San Carlos	2:1 ✺
02.06.21	Central Español - Danubio	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWT
- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
01.07.21	Uruguay Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	2:0 ✺
25.06.21	Uruguay Montevideo - Albion Montevideo	2:2 ✺
15.06.21	Juventud de Las Piedras - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
09.06.21	Uruguay Montevideo - Villa Teresa	2:3 ✺
01.06.21	Racing Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTLLL

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