Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 34

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor (Darmstadt)

Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Darmstadt		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	3.6	4	1.85	Watch
	3.4	3.9	1.88	Watch
	3.78	4.3	1.92
	3.59	3.95	1.92	Watch
	3.5	3.7	1.85	Watch
	3.65	4.06	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3.16)	3.99 ↓ (4.47)	1.88 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darmstadt
26.3%

Draw
23.7%

Paderborn
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

21.1%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

21.8%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darmstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darmstadt than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	10.5%	73.7%

Darmstadt - Paderborn Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Darmstadt will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Paderborn will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Darmstadt (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Darmstadt (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schuhen M. (G) 17. Klefisch K. 20. Vukotic A. 5. Maglica M. 2. Lopez S. 16. Akiyama H. 31. Schmidt N. 32. Holland F. (C) 23. Richter M. 34. Corredor K. 7. Lidberg I.	41. Seimen D. (G) 22. Hansen M. 25. Scheller T. 4. Brackelmann C. 17. Curda L. (C) 14. Baur M. 5. Castaneda S. 3. Sticker J. 2. Muller R. 7. Bilbija F. 30. Marino S.
Substitutes
30. Brunst A. (G) 4. Dettoni G. 44. Furukawa Y. 22. Guler S. 19. Lakenmacher F. 18. Petretta R. 49. Pfister M.	9. Batzner N. 20. Gotze F. 8. Kinsombi D. 26. Klaas S. 11. Michel S. 24. Mohr N. 10. Okpala K. 1. Schubert M. (G) 27. Tigges S.
Coaches
Kohfeldt F.	Kettemann R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Marino S. ⚽, Hansen M. (A),
14', Lopez S. 🟨,
45+1', Baur M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Muller R. 🟨,
61', Bilbija F. (Penalty Awarded),
63', Muller R. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
63', Marino S. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
69', Holland F. ↓, Furukawa Y. ↑,
69', Lopez S. ↓, Petretta R. ↑,
74', Vukotic A. 🟨,
82', Castaneda S. ↓, Klaas S. ↑,
82', Brackelmann C. ↓, Gotze F. ↑,
89', 0 - 2, Michel S. ⚽, Bilbija F. (A),
90', Corredor K. ↓, Lakenmacher F. ↑,
90+4', Sticker J. ↓, Kinsombi D. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 2.

Darmstadt is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Paderborn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Darmstadt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Paderborn could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Darmstadt: Bader M. (Inactive) Holland F. (Injury) Hornby F. (Injury) Marseiler L. (Knee Injury) Nurnberger F. (Inactive) Papela M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Paderborn: Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury) Obermair R. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Darmstadt: Lopez S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Paderborn: Castaneda S. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Darmstadt won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Darmstadt won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Darmstadt: 0.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Darmstadt	7	2	1	4	8:14	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Darmstadt 98
German 2 Bundesliga
10.05.26	Preußen Münster - Darmstadt	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Karlsruher - Darmstadt	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Darmstadt - Elversberg	3:3 ✺
19.04.26	Greuther Fürth - Darmstadt	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Darmstadt - Hannover	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLTLL
- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
08.05.26	Paderborn - Karlsruher	2:2 ✺
03.05.26	Elversberg - Paderborn	5:1 ✺
26.04.26	Paderborn - Schalke 04	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Hannover - Paderborn	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Paderborn - Magdeburg	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
19.12.25	Paderborn - Darmstadt	2:2
26.01.25	Darmstadt - Paderborn	0:1
11.08.24	Paderborn - Darmstadt	3:1
09.04.23	Darmstadt - Paderborn	2:1
30.09.22	Paderborn - Darmstadt	1:2
15.05.22	Darmstadt - Paderborn	3:0
11.12.21	Paderborn - Darmstadt	0:1

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