Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 33

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn)

Referee: Braun R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Paderborn		Karlsruher

	1	X	2
	1.4	5.5	6	Watch
	1.38	5.15	6.1	Watch
	1.42	5.56	6.94
	1.37	5.63	6.91	Watch
	1.4	4.8	6	Watch
	1.44	5.5	5.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)	5.36 ↑ (4.58)	6.28 ↑ (5.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paderborn
67.3%

Draw
17.6%

Karlsruher
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

19.1%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Karlsruher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	17.6%	5.9%

Paderborn - Karlsruher Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Karlsruher will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paderborn (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Seimen D. (G) 22. Hansen M. 25. Scheller T. 4. Brackelmann C. 17. Curda L. (C) 14. Baur M. 5. Castaneda S. 3. Sticker J. 9. Batzner N. 7. Bilbija F. 30. Marino S.	1. Bernat C. (G) 22. Kobald C. 28. Franke M. 6. Rapp N. 2. Jung S. 11. Forster P. 8. Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 10. Wanitzek M. (C) 20. Herold D. 13. Fukuda S. 19. Ben Farhat L.
Substitutes
28. Copado L. 20. Gotze F. 8. Kinsombi D. 26. Klaas S. 11. Michel S. 24. Mohr N. 2. Muller R. 10. Okpala K. 1. Schubert M. (G)	7. Burnic D. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 16. Muller A. 17. Opitz L. 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 24. Schleusener F. 15. Scholl P. 9. Simic R. 21. Waschenbach M.
Coaches
Kettemann R.	Eichner C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Forster P. 🟨,
14', Kobald C. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Bilbija F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↓, Muller A. ↑,
48', Muller A. 🟨,
58', Jung S. ↓, Pinto Pedrosa R. ↑,
58', Ben Farhat L. ↓, Schleusener F. ↑,
59', Batzner N. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
73', Castaneda S. ↓, Klaas S. ↑,
73', Bilbija F. ↓, Muller R. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Schleusener F. ⚽, Forster P. (A),
79', 1 - 2, Fukuda S. ⚽, Herold D. (A),
83', Sticker J. ↓, Mohr N. ↑,
83', Marino S. ↓, Okpala K. ↑,
84', Forster P. ↓, Burnic D. ↑,
85', 2 - 2, Klaas S. ⚽,
90+7', Pinto Pedrosa R. 🟨,
90+8', Fukuda S. ↓, Opitz L. ↑,
90+10', Wanitzek M. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Paderborn is the obvious favorite.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Paderborn won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Paderborn won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Karlsruher SC	6	1	2	3	6:12	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
03.05.26	Elversberg - Paderborn	5:1 ✺
26.04.26	Paderborn - Schalke 04	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Hannover - Paderborn	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Paderborn - Magdeburg	4:3 ✺
05.04.26	Greuther Fürth - Paderborn	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLTWW
- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
03.05.26	Karlsruher - Darmstadt	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Karlsruher - Hannover	1:3 ✺
17.04.26	Elversberg - Karlsruher	3:0 ✺
10.04.26	Karlsruher - Arminia Bielefeld	4:1 ✺
05.04.26	Schalke 04 - Karlsruher	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
13.12.25	Karlsruher - Paderborn	0:4
18.05.25	Karlsruher - Paderborn	3:0
21.12.24	Paderborn - Karlsruher	1:2
13.04.24	Paderborn - Karlsruher	1:1
05.11.23	Karlsruher - Paderborn	0:3
27.01.23	Karlsruher - Paderborn	0:1
17.07.22	Paderborn - Karlsruher	5:0

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