Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 30

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: De Vijverberg (Doetinchem) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	12:15	Canal+, ESPN


	De Graafschap		Vitesse

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.2	4.1
	1.8	3.9	3.5
	1.72	4.15	3.95	Watch
	1.7	4.1	3.7
	1.71	4.45	3.92	Watch
	1.75	3.9	3.8
	1.71	4.29	3.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.83)	4.14 ↑ (4.13)	3.85 ↑ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

De Graafschap
53.6%

Draw
22.3%

Vitesse
24%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.1%

22.6%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

21.7%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Vitesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitesse than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

De Graafschap - Vitesse Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Graafschap will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Vitesse will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Graafschap: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wieggers T. (G) 2. Martens N. 15. Kok T. 3. Besselink R. 5. Schoppema L. 24. Meerstadt J. 10. Niemeijer R. (C) 8. Gijselhart T. 17. Kaninda N. 9. Eggens N. 11. El Kadiri I.	16. van den Berg C. (G) 2. Bonnah S. 17. Zumberi V. 35. Achouitar O. 28. Buttner A. (C) 6. Schikora M. 33. Marschalk M. 13. Pinto J. 21. Schwarz R. 7. Hoogewerf D. 20. Bannis N.
Substitutes
18. Bultman S. 22. de Jong F. 38. Eijken D. 19. El Allachi C. 25. Jonkers R. (G) 12. Kremers S. (G) 40. Kwint K. 7. Simons J. 6. Smits M. 21. Symons K.	31. Brull M. (G) 30. Driezen M. 39. Huetink F. 9. Huth E. 24. Markelo N. 8. Moustafa A. 43. Olde Keizer C. 11. Ranon Y. 23. Siecker J. (G) 19. Tahaui A. 22. Thenu X. 27. Zonneveld N.
Coaches
Dijkhuizen M.	Rehm R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Bannis N. ⚽, Pinto J. (A),
10', Bannis N. 🟨,
31', 0 - 2, Zumberi V. ⚽, Schwarz R. (A),
39', Meerstadt J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Kaninda N. ↓, El Allachi C. ↑,
46', Bannis N. ↓, Huth E. ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Eggens N. ⚽, Schoppema L. (A),
60', 1 - 3, Marschalk M. ⚽, Huth E. (A),
65', El Kadiri I. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
66', Meerstadt J. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
69', Schwarz R. ↓, Ranon Y. ↑,
69', Hoogewerf D. ↓, Tahaui A. ↑,
75', Marschalk M. ↓, Moustafa A. ↑,
76', Pinto J. ↓, Zonneveld N. ↑,
76', Schoppema L. ↓, Symons K. ↑,
76', Kok T. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
85', Buttner A. ↓, Olde Keizer C. ↑,
87', Ranon Y. 🟨,
87', Martens N. ↓, Smits M. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 4, Ranon Y. ⚽, Tahaui A. (A),

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 19).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 2.

De Graafschap is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vitesse's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, De Graafschap is the team to beat.

There will not play in Vitesse: Steffen M. (Leg Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 1.1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Vitesse	12	5	2	5	16:17	-1	17
16	De Graafschap	12	3	3	6	15:26	-11	12

Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now

Vitesse: 2.3% De Graafschap: 0.69%

Last Results with these Odds

De Graafschap - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.09%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.02.26	MVV Maastricht - De Graafschap	3:3 ✺
20.02.26	De Graafschap - Jong Utrecht	1:0 ✺
13.02.26	Jong PSV - De Graafschap	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	De Graafschap - Jong Ajax	4:0 ✺
31.01.26	Helmond Sport - De Graafschap	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWWT
- Vitesse Arnhem
Dutch Eerste Divisie
27.02.26	Vitesse - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Willem II - Vitesse	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Vitesse - VVV-Venlo	2:2 ✺
06.02.26	FC Oss - Vitesse	1:2 ✺
02.02.26	Vitesse - FC Eindhoven	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
04.12.25	Vitesse - De Graafschap	1:2
16.02.25	Vitesse - De Graafschap	2:0
29.09.24	De Graafschap - Vitesse	3:1
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.19	Vitesse - De Graafschap	2:0
Dutch Eredivisie
12.05.19	Vitesse - De Graafschap	6:1
23.12.18	De Graafschap - Vitesse	2:2
21.02.16	De Graafschap - Vitesse	2:2

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