The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jong PSV 28.6%
Draw 22%
De Graafschap 49.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.9%
22.6%
44.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.4%
22.3%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong PSV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for De Graafschap, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
27.8%
38.9%
Jong PSV - De Graafschap Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Jong PSV will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Graafschap will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Graafschap: 17.8% – 64.6%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ngom K. (G) 2. Bassey E. 3. van der Plas S. 4. Kuhn W. (C) 5. van de Riet R. 6. Merien F. 10. Koller J. 8. Sidibe S. 7. Kluit F. 9. Bouhoudane S. 11. Bouhamdi A.
1. Wieggers T. (G) 2. Martens N. 3. Besselink R. 15. Kok T. 5. Schoppema L. 24. Meerstadt J. 10. Niemeijer R. (C) 8. Gijselhart T. 17. Kaninda N. 9. Eggens N. 22. de Jong F.
Substitutes
17. Bahaty M. 20. Beerens J. 19. Jones A. 18. Khaderi B. 16. Kuijsten S. (G) 14. Monamay M. 15. Mulders B.
27. Ahmeti N. 31. Bouwman S. (G) 20. Braem T. 32. Broker S. 18. Bultman S. 11. El Kadiri I. 29. Grotenhuis T. 25. Jonkers R. (G) 40. Kwint K. 7. Simons J. 6. Smits M. 21. Symons K.
Coaches
Schaars S.
Dijkhuizen M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Koller J. ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Niemeijer R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
64', de Jong F. ↓, El Kadiri I. ↑,
64', Kaninda N. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
65', Kluit F. ↓, Bahaty M. ↑,
74', Schoppema L. ↓, Symons K. ↑,
74', Eggens N. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
76', Kuhn W. ↓, Monamay M. ↑,
76', Sidibe S. ↓, Khaderi B. ↑,
77', Kwint K. 🟨,
80', 1 - 2, Kwint K. ⚽, El Kadiri I. (A),
83', Bouhoudane S. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
83', Bassey E. ↓, Mulders B. ↑,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 0.
Jong PSV is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
De Graafschap has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Jong PSV may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Jong PSV: Olij N.
(Groin Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong PSV won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 28:48. (average 1.4:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong PSV won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.4:1.9).
Outrights of Dutch Eerste Divisie for now
De Graafschap: 0.81% Jong PSV: 0.59%
Standings
Main
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
12
Jong PSV
10
3
4
3
15:17
-2
13
16
De Graafschap
10
3
2
5
13:23
-10
11
Last Results with these Odds
De Graafschap - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.48%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Netherlands
Watch
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Ngom K. (G) 
Sidibe S. 
Bouhamdi A. 
Martens N. 
Kaninda N. 
Ahmeti N. 
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