Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 18

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: De Vijverberg (Doetinchem)

Referee: Wiersma W. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+


	De Graafschap		FC Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	8.5	Watch
	1.32	5.4	8.3
	1.35	5.93	7.36
	1.45	4.70	6.01	Watch
	1.34	5.15	7.5	Watch
	1.33	5.33	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.45)	5.25 ↑ (4.7)	7.45 ↑ (6.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

De Graafschap
69.5%

Draw
17.9%

FC Eindhoven
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

19.9%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.9%

19.2%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

FC Eindhoven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Eindhoven than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

De Graafschap - FC Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 9 - 75%). FC Eindhoven will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - De Graafschap (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): De Graafschap will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wieggers T. (G) 4. Raterink O. 18. Bultman S. 24. Meerstadt J. 21. Symons K. 20. Braem T. 10. Niemeijer R. (C) 6. Smits M. 26. van der Heide A. 28. Boersma B. 11. El Kadiri I.	1. Borgmans J. (G) 22. Essers C. 24. Renfrum O. 33. Neeskens J. 25. Douglas T. 14. Deenen H. 5. Huisman D. (C) 8. Simons S. 2. Simons T. 32. Janga R. 21. Muller T.
Substitutes
3. Besselink R. 32. Broker S. 22. de Jong F. 38. Eijken D. 25. Jonkers R. (G) 17. Kaninda N. 12. Kremers S. (G) 5. Schoppema L. 7. Simons J. 9. Theodoridis D.	7. Blummel S. 20. Bryson A. 30. Fancito D. N. (G) 28. Haddaoui Z. 23. Lukoki Mateso E. 18. Munsters N. 80. Mununga T. 27. van de Wetering M. 9. van Veen K. 31. van Zutphen R. (G)
Coaches
Dijkhuizen M.	Poortvliet J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Boersma B. ⚽, Raterink O. (A),
23', Deenen H. ↓, Lukoki Mateso E. ↑,
31', 2 - 0, El Kadiri I. ⚽, Niemeijer R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Raterink O. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
57', Simons T. 🟨,
58', van der Heide A. ↓, Simons J. ↑,
58', Braem T. ↓, Eijken D. ↑,
58', Smits M. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
65', Janga R. ↓, van Veen K. ↑,
67', Schoppema L. 🟨,
76', Simons J. 🟨,
78', Huisman D. ↓, Blummel S. ↑,
78', Muller T. ↓, Munsters N. ↑,
78', Essers C. ↓, van de Wetering M. ↑,
85', El Kadiri I. ↓, Theodoridis D. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

De Graafschap may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, De Graafschap has had a series of away games.

In this match, De Graafschap is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in De Graafschap: Gijselhart T. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:18. (average 1.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:5. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie
25.11.25	ADO Den Haag - De Graafschap	3:2 ✺
21.11.25	De Graafschap - Helmond Sport	3:1 ✺
09.11.25	Waalwijk - De Graafschap	1:4 ✺
31.10.25	Den Bosch - De Graafschap	1:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.25	GVVV - De Graafschap	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWWL
- FC Eindhoven
Dutch Eerste Divisie
21.11.25	Jong Ajax - FC Eindhoven	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	FC Eindhoven - Cambuur	3:3 ✺
07.11.25	FC Eindhoven - Den Bosch	1:3 ✺
03.11.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - FC Eindhoven	0:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.25	HSV Hoek - FC Eindhoven	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
11.04.25	FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap	1:0
06.09.24	De Graafschap - FC Eindhoven	2:0
19.01.24	FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap	0:1
27.10.23	De Graafschap - FC Eindhoven	2:1
24.02.23	FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap	0:4
11.12.22	De Graafschap - FC Eindhoven	1:2
Dutch Eredivisie
13.05.22	FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap	3:1

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