Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday


	Jong AZ Alkmaar		Jong Ajax

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.90	3.00
	1.96	3.80	2.90
	1.94	4.19	3.10
	3.63	1.65	4.99	Watch
	1.79	4.10	3.05
	1.89	4.89	2.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.28)	3.76 ↓ (4.5)	3.34 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong AZ Alkmaar
44.8%

Draw
26%

Jong Ajax
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

20.2%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Jong Ajax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jong Ajax might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
84', 1 - 0, ⚽,
88', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 3.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:26. (average 1.9:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 2.1:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Jong Ajax - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.89%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.04.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Roda	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Willem II - Jong AZ Alkmaar	3:0 ✺
13.04.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong PSV	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar	5:0 ✺
03.04.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Helmond Sport	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLLW
- Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.04.26	Jong Ajax - Jong Utrecht	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Jong PSV - Jong Ajax	0:1 ✺
13.04.26	Jong Ajax - FC Oss	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Vitesse - Jong Ajax	6:1 ✺
03.04.26	ADO Den Haag - Jong Ajax	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.01.26	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax	1:2
18.08.25	Jong Ajax - Jong AZ Alkmaar	4:1
13.01.25	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax	2:1
17.09.24	Jong Ajax - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:2
10.05.24	Jong Ajax - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:4
18.09.23	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax	5:2
12.05.23	Jong Ajax - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:2

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