Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 26

Date: 6 December 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Eva Peron (Junin)

Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
World	Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Sarmiento de Junín		Defensa y Justicia

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.88	2.45	Watch
	3.1	2.95	2.4
	3.2	2.92	2.45	Watch
	3.36	2.99	2.52
	3.29	2.94	2.46	Watch
	3.2	3	2.38
	3.24	3.04	2.42	Watch
	3.2	2.92	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (3.07)	2.96 ↓ (3)	2.44 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Sarmiento de Junín
29.2%

Draw
32.1%

Defensa y Justicia
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

31.5%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

32.7%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarmiento de Junín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Junín than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Sarmiento de Junín - Defensa y Justicia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Acosta L. (G) 29. Lopez E. 32. Paredes F. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 33. Diaz G. 5. Garcia M. 31. Guiacobini T. 22. Burgoa V. 10. Gaitan N. 28. Gho J. 18. Morales I.	23. Bologna E. (C) 38. Rubio T. 28. Aguilera E. 21. Ramos S. 26. Caceres D. 35. Schamine B. 25. Perez C. 27. Herrera L. 16. Molinas A. 10. Bogarin R. 9. Miritello J. B.
Substitutes
6. Andrada J. 26. Arismendi Y. 13. Champagne N. (G) 20. Gudino G. 21. Hauche G. 7. Lopez L. 52. Mendez E. 36. Morales S. 9. Naya E. 8. Paradela F. 14. Roncaglia F. 38. Rosales M.	17. Alanis G. 14. Cannavo E. 36. Echevarria F. 6. Ferreira L. 22. Fiermarin C. (G) 18. Galvan I. 24. Gonzalez M. 8. Lopez J. 30. Lopez K. 13. Lucero S. 7. Osorio A. 33. Palavecino N.
Coaches
Sanguinetti J.	de Muner P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Morales I. ⚽, Gho J. (A),
32', 1 - 1, Schamine B. ⚽, Ramos S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Caceres D. ↓, Galvan I. ↑,
56', Diaz G. ↓, Arismendi Y. ↑,
64', Gho J. 🟨,
67', Herrera L. 🟨,
68', Miritello J. B. ↓, Osorio A. ↑,
68', Bogarin R. ↓, Palavecino N. ↑,
72', Schamine B. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
77', Molinas A. 🟨,
80', Molinas A. ↓, Alanis G. ↑,
83', Morales I. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
85', Lopez J. 🟨,
87', Burgoa V. ↓, Hauche G. ↑,
87', Gho J. ↓, Rosales M. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sarmiento won 2.

Sarmiento is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Defensa y Justicia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Sarmiento: Molina A. (Injury) Monaco M. (Injury) Pourtau J. (Injury) Sauro G. (Injury)

There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Togni G. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Defensa y Justicia: Sosa M. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Sarmiento won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20:23 (average 1.5:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Sarmiento won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:12 (average 2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.12.24	Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
26.11.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Platense	1:0 ✺
21.11.24	Talleres de Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín	2:0 ✺
10.11.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Boca Juniors	0:2 ✺
04.11.24	Atlético Tucumán - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL
- Defensa y Justicia
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.11.24	Defensa y Justicia - Godoy Cruz	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Lanús - Defensa y Justicia	0:0 ✺
18.11.24	Defensa y Justicia - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
11.11.24	Tigre - Defensa y Justicia	0:4 ✺
07.11.24	Defensa y Justicia - Argentinos Juniors	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
06.02.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Defensa y Justicia	2:3
03.09.23	Defensa y Justicia - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
23.07.23	Defensa y Justicia - Sarmiento de Junín	3:0
15.07.22	Sarmiento de Junín - Defensa y Justicia	2:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
21.04.22	Sarmiento de Junín - Defensa y Justicia	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.08.21	Defensa y Justicia - Sarmiento de Junín	4:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
21.03.21	Sarmiento de Junín - Defensa y Justicia	3:1

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