Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 23 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV3


	Botafogo RJ		Defensa y Justicia

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	5.75	Watch
	1.71	3.5	5
	1.68	3.45	5.5
	1.69	3.57	5.61
	1.63	3.4	5.25
	1.71	3.62	5.1	Watch
	1.7	3.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.74)	3.51 (3.51)	5.34 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS En Espa√±ol (Canada)

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
55.7%

Draw
26.8%

Defensa y Justicia
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

26.6%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

25.6%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Botafogo RJ aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Botafogo RJ - Defensa y Justicia Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gatito Fernandez (G) 94. Philipe Sampaio 5. Danilo 15. Victor Cuesta (C) 16. Hugo 6. Tche Tche 14. Gabriel Pires 7. Victor Sa 18. Lucas Fernandes 57. JP Galvao 90. Matheus Nascimento	23. Bologna E. (G) 32. Sant'Anna A. 2. Malatini J. 25. Cardona T. 3. Soto A. 8. Lopez J. 5. Gutierrez K. 19. Barbona D. 27. Solari S. 29. Fernandez N. 11. Togni G.
Substitutes
34. Adryelson 19. Costa D. 24. Di Placido L. 54. Hernandez D. 39. Janderson 37. Junior Santos 12. Lucas Perri (G) 11. Luis Henrique 17. Marlon Freitas 4. Ponte M. 75. Rai 20. Segovia M.	12. Beron J. 10. Bogarin R. 26. Caceres D. 7. Duarte M. 36. Echevarria F. 15. Escalante L. T. 22. Fiermarin C. (G) 6. Gissi D. 18. Pratto L. 21. Ramos S. 9. Rios A. 4. Tripichio N.
Coaches
Lage B.	Vaccari J.

Preview

1st leg.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Botafogo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Botafogo is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A
19.08.23	São Paulo - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
12.08.23	Botafogo RJ - Internacional RS	3:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.08.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
06.08.23	Cruzeiro - Botafogo RJ	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.08.23	Botafogo RJ - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWTTW
- Defensa y Justicia
Copa Sudamericana
08.08.23	Defensa y Justicia - Emelec	1:0 ✺
01.08.23	Emelec - Defensa y Justicia	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.07.23	Unión Santa Fe - Defensa y Justicia	2:0 ✺
23.07.23	Defensa y Justicia - Sarmiento de Junín	3:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
19.07.23	Defensa y Justicia - Centro Español	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
20.02.19	Defensa y Justicia - Botafogo RJ	0:3
06.02.19	Botafogo RJ - Defensa y Justicia	1:0

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