Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 8 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Gobernador Julio A. Costa)

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)


	Defensa y Justicia		Emelec

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	6	Watch
	1.55	4.2	5.5
	1.5	4.35	6
	1.49	4.5	6.33
	1.47	4	5.8
	1.48	4.5	6.25	Watch
	1.51	4.3	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.59)	4.29 ↑ (4.05)	5.93 ↑ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia
62.4%

Draw
21.8%

Emelec
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

23.1%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

22.3%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Defensa y Justicia - Emelec Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Bologna E. (C) 32. Sant'Anna A. 2. Malatini J. 25. Cardona T. 3. Soto A. 4. Tripichio N. 5. Gutierrez K. 19. Barbona D. 27. Solari S. 29. Fernandez N. 11. Togni G.	12. Ortiz P. (C) 14. Caicedo R. 26. Leon F. 2. Leguizamon A. 20. Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 27. Carcelen Carabali M. A. 15. Villalba C. 7. Sosa Samuel 21. Cevallos J. 11. Garcia Cardozo D. G. 19. Bryan Angulo
Substitutes
12. Beron J. 10. Bogarin R. 26. Caceres D. 30. Castellani G. 7. Duarte M. 36. Echevarria F. 15. Escalante L. T. 22. Fiermarin C. (G) 8. Lopez J. 18. Pratto L. 21. Ramos S. 9. Rios A.	6. Agron B. 70. Borja Suarez R. A. 30. Chamba T. 18. Cruz C. 17. Espinoza J. 3. Fara C. 22. Mina F. (G) 36. Valencia C. 28. Vera D. 10. Zapata A.
Coaches
Vaccari J.	Torres H.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Defensa y Justicia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Emelec is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Defensa y Justicia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Defensa y Justicia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia
Copa Sudamericana
01.08.23	Emelec - Defensa y Justicia	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.07.23	Unión Santa Fe - Defensa y Justicia	2:0 ✺
23.07.23	Defensa y Justicia - Sarmiento de Junín	3:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
19.07.23	Defensa y Justicia - Centro Español	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.07.23	Godoy Cruz - Defensa y Justicia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWWT
- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
04.08.23	Libertad Loja - Emelec	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
01.08.23	Emelec - Defensa y Justicia	1:2 ✺
19.07.23	Emelec - Sporting Cristal	0:0 ✺
12.07.23	Sporting Cristal - Emelec	0:1 ✺
28.06.23	Emelec - Danubio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
01.08.23	Emelec - Defensa y Justicia	1:2

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