Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Serie Rio de la Plata

Date: 21 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Luis Franzini (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
World	Disney+


	Defensor Sporting		Instituto Córdoba

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.9	3	2.5
	2.81	3.05	2.47
	2.88	3.13	2.51	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.45
	2.91	3.18	2.52	Watch
	2.9	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.4)	3.04 ↓ (3.4)	2.49 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Serie Rio de la Plata with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

Defensor Sporting
32.3%

Draw
30.5%

Instituto Córdoba
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

26.5%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

25.4%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensor Sporting's form might have worsened.

Instituto Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensor Sporting, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Instituto Córdoba than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Defensor Sporting - Instituto Córdoba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dawson K. (G) 3. De los Santos G. 15. Viacava J. 21. Prieto K. 16. Alvarez J. 6. Amaro M. 27. Jorge J. 18. Soria A. 5. Montoya W. 8. Altez K. 19. Abreu D.	38. Papaleo J. (G) 23. Beltran E. 42. Carrera L. 33. Zalazar N. 21. Pereyra E. 34. Moreyra S. 30. Diaz F. 15. Gallardo M. 8. Acevedo J. 32. Dellarossa J. 27. Luna A.
Substitutes
22. Barco A. 17. Barrios F. 31. Biscayzacu X. 64. Cambon A. 29. Dudok R. 20. Konig L. A. 13. Marchesini F. 28. Navarro L. 23. Simone B. (G) 26. Wunsch N.	13. Albarracin J. 25. Albarracin L. 11. Batallini D. 2. Franco J. 7. Godoy M. 59. Klimowicz M. 16. Lazaro J. 17. Lo Celso F. 19. Lodico G. A. 14. Mac Allister F. 22. Puebla D. 31. Requena G. 10. Romero S. 35. Sittaro Miranda E. O. (G) 9. Suarez F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Viacava J. 🟨,
22', Alvarez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Dawson K. ↓, Simone B. ↑,
46', Dellarossa J. ↓, Suarez F. ↑,
46', Gallardo M. ↓, Puebla D. ↑,
46', Pereyra E. ↓, Franco J. ↑,
46', Moreyra S. ↓, Lo Celso F. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Acevedo J. ⚽,
59', Jorge J. ↓, Dudok R. ↑,
60', Altez K. ↓, Navarro L. ↑,
60', Alvarez J. ↓, Biscayzacu X. ↑,
61', Montoya W. ↓, Wunsch N. ↑,
61', Luna A. ↓, Batallini D. ↑,
69', Abreu D. ↓, Cambon A. ↑,
69', Prieto K. ↓, Barrios F. ↑,
72', Acevedo J. ↓, Mac Allister F. ↑,
73', Diaz F. ↓, Romero S. ↑,
75', De los Santos G. ↓, Marchesini F. ↑,
75', Viacava J. ↓, Barco A. ↑,
77', Soria A. ↓, Santos J. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Biscayzacu X. ⚽,
86', Suarez F. 🟨,
90+1', Puebla D. 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Romero S. (Pen),
1, Marchesini F. (Pen),
2, Zalazar N. (Pen),
2, Cambon A. (Pen),
3, Suarez F. (Pen),
3, Wunsch N. (Pen),
4, Lo Celso F. (Pen),
4, Biscayzacu X. (Pen),
5, Puebla D. (Pen),
5, (Pen),
6, Mac Allister F. (Pen),
6, (Pen),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensor Sporting
Serie Rio de la Plata
18.01.25	Defensor Sporting - Independiente	2:5 ✺
15.01.25	Defensor Sporting - Gimnasia La Plata	2:3 ✺
Uruguay Copa
06.12.24	Nacional Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	2:3 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
30.11.24	Miramar Misiones - Defensor Sporting	0:0 ✺
27.11.24	Cerro Largo - Defensor Sporting	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWTL
- Instituto Córdoba
Serie Rio de la Plata
18.01.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Instituto Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.12.24	Instituto Córdoba - Godoy Cruz	1:3 ✺
07.12.24	Lanús - Instituto Córdoba	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Instituto Córdoba - Deportivo Riestra	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Tigre - Instituto Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWT

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