Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 27

Date: 31 July 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Juan Pasquale (Belgrano)


	Defensores de Belgrano		Deportivo Flandria

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.3	6.5
	1.63	3.4	5.25
	1.65	3.3	5.65
	1.64	3.55	6.34
	1.63	3.25	5.5
	1.67	3.54	5.7
	1.67	3.4	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.69)	3.39 ↑ (3.22)	5.76 ↑ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Belgrano
56.4%

Draw
27.5%

Deportivo Flandria
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

28.6%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

25.2%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Deportivo Flandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Defensores de Belgrano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Flandria than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	7.1%	21.4%

Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Flandria Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Defensores will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Flandria will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Defensores: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pietrobono I. (G) 4. Levi M. 2. Del Grecco N. 6. Moreira R. 3. Formica L. 8. Gutierrez I. 5. Benitez A. 10. Salto C. 11. Moyano P. 7. Ceratto M. 9. Benegas N. (C)	1. Perafan M. (C) 4. Broggi C. 2. Gomez F. 6. Marchio J. 3. Raggio E. 8. Murillo F. 5. Papa G. 10. Rivadero M. 7. Gagliardi A. 9. Comachi M. 11. Torres J.
Substitutes
18. Baiardino J. 14. Bonacorso E. 16. Chavez F. 20. De Tomasso J. 17. Machado C. 19. Molina M. 12. Petruchi L. (G) 15. Sanchez S. 13. Torres D.	14. Arrechea N. 13. Canever F. 16. Ford J. 12. Gallardo I. (G) 17. Gonzalez A. E. 20. Melivilo F. 15. Nalerio A. 19. Sanchez C. 18. Tisera F.
Coaches
Mayor C.	Arrotea T.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Defensores de Belgrano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Flandria is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Defensores de Belgrano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Defensores de Belgrano is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Defensores de Belgrano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.07.23	San Martín de San Juan - Defensores de Belgrano	1:3 ✺
17.07.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Defensores Unidos	1:2 ✺
09.07.23	Guillermo Brown - Defensores de Belgrano	Def. de Belgrano awarded ✺
02.07.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Agropecuario Argentino	1:0 ✺
24.06.23	Club Almagro - Defensores de Belgrano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WL?WL
- Deportivo Flandria
Argentinian Primera Nacional
23.07.23	Deportivo Flandria - Almirante Brown	0:2 ✺
16.07.23	Deportivo Morón - Deportivo Flandria	2:1 ✺
09.07.23	Deportivo Flandria - Güemes	3:1 ✺
02.07.23	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Flandria	3:1 ✺
26.06.23	Deportivo Flandria - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.03.23	Deportivo Flandria - Defensores de Belgrano	1:2
12.02.22	Deportivo Flandria - Defensores de Belgrano	1:1
Argentinian Primera B
09.04.16	Deportivo Flandria - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1
29.09.15	Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Flandria	2:1

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