Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 30

Date: 20 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella (Paraná)

Referee: Monson Brizuela G. (Arg)


	Patronato Parana		Defensores de Belgrano

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.5
	2.2	2.95	3.25
	2.15	3	3.65
	2.32	2.96	3.63
	2.25	2.9	3.25
	2.22	3.13	3.48
	2.2	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.31)	3.01 ↓ (3.02)	3.45 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Patronato Parana
41.9%

Draw
31.1%

Defensores de Belgrano
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

30.6%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

30.9%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Patronato Parana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Defensores de Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Belgrano than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Patronato Parana - Defensores de Belgrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Salva J. (G) 4. Geminiani L. 2. Ojeda S. (C) 6. Gonzalez C. 3. Cobos F. 8. Arce D. 5. Vazquez F. 10. Valdez J. 7. Solis N. 9. Diaz E. 11. Pereyra V. L.	1. Petruchi L. (G) 4. Bonacorso E. 2. Del Grecco N. 6. Moreira R. 3. Sanchez S. 11. Moyano P. 8. Gutierrez I. 5. Chavez F. 10. Salto C. 7. Aguirre E. (C) 9. Benegas N.
Substitutes
15. Barinaga J. 13. Bellatti S. D. N. 12. Budino M. (G) 16. Caceres T. 18. Gonzalez K. 14. Kruspzky L. 20. Malimberni S. 17. Novero G. 19. Russo I.	17. Baiardino J. 16. Benitez M. 18. Ceratto M. 20. De Tomasso J. 14. Levi M. 15. Medaglia E. 19. Molina M. 12. Pietrobono I. (G) 13. Torres D.
Coaches
de Paoli R.	Mayor C.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Patronato is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Defensores de Belgrano is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Defensores de Belgrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Patronato will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Patronato won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Patronato Parana
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.08.23	Almirante Brown - Patronato Parana	2:0 ✺
06.08.23	Patronato Parana - Deportivo Morón	3:2 ✺
30.07.23	Güemes - Patronato Parana	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
25.07.23	Patronato Parana - Argentinos Juniors	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
19.07.23	Botafogo RJ - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWLLT
- Defensores de Belgrano
Argentinian Primera Nacional
15.08.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
05.08.23	Alvarado - Defensores de Belgrano	0:0 ✺
31.07.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Deportivo Flandria	4:2 ✺
24.07.23	San Martín de San Juan - Defensores de Belgrano	1:3 ✺
17.07.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Defensores Unidos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.04.23	Defensores de Belgrano - Patronato Parana	2:0

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